InveniINVENI
015360 · KOSPI · ₩015360 · INVENI
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩22,557
vs the current price (₩14,000)
- Enterprise value
- ₩597B
- Equity value
- ₩592B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 61% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩14,000, the model needs an operating margin of 2.7% every year (it uses 4.1%).
- Or revenue growth −9.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 0.0% to 8.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
- Today's P/E is 4.5× against a typical 8.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩7,083
- −49.4%
- Base
- ₩22,557
- +61.1%
- Bull
- ₩49,933
- +256.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.1%).
Revenue growth
- -3.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -2.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.08, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.3T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩5.4B
- Shares
- 26,250,000
- Share price
- ₩14,000
- Market cap
- ₩368B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.4T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.3T |
| Growth | −2.8% | −18.9% | 14.4% | −3.4% | −1.8% | −0.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩57B | ₩24B | ₩112B | ₩52B | ₩51B | ₩51B | ₩52B | ₩53B |
| EBIT margin | 4.0% | 2.1% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩42B | ₩18B | ₩81B | ₩38B | ₩37B | ₩37B | ₩37B | ₩39B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩33B | ₩32B | ₩32B | ₩33B | ₩34B |
| − Capital spending | ₩60B | ₩39B | ₩30B | ₩42B | ₩41B | ₩41B | ₩42B | ₩43B |
| − Working capital | −₩76B | −₩62B | ₩51B | ₩1.1B | ₩548M | ₩60M | −₩418M | −₩908M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩30B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.753 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩26B | ₩24B | ₩23B | ₩22B | ₩21B |
Terminal value ₩686B, worth ₩481B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩26,373 a share)Now 0.53× | ₩9,0690.34× | ₩11,8270.45× | ₩15,3140.58× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,116 a share)Now 4.49× | ₩13,7864.42× | ₩27,4088.80× | ₩136,96744.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,349 a share)Now 10.4× | ₩5,9684.42× | ₩11,8658.80× | ₩59,29444.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩23,204 | ₩25,350 | ₩27,993 | ₩31,327 | ₩35,662 |
| 6.8% | ₩21,125 | ₩22,877 | ₩24,993 | ₩27,597 | ₩30,883 |
| 7.3% | ₩19,376 | ₩20,830 | ₩22,557 | ₩24,642 | ₩27,209 |
| 7.8% | ₩17,885 | ₩19,107 | ₩20,540 | ₩22,242 | ₩24,298 |
| 8.3% | ₩16,598 | ₩17,639 | ₩18,844 | ₩20,256 | ₩21,934 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩368B
- Enterprise value
- ₩341B
- P/E
- 4.5×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 7.7%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩13,300 | ₩10,080 | ₩6,600 | ₩6,300 | ₩7,160 |
| Market cap | ₩349B | ₩265B | ₩173B | ₩165B | ₩188B |
| P/E | 4.0× | 9.1× | 7.3× | — | 8.7× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.4× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.2× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 8.1% | 7.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inveni | 4.5× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 7.7% |
| S-1 | 24.0× | 2.1× | 1.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Cheil Worldwide | 9.8× | 1.3× | 0.5× | — | 6.5% |
| Doosan Tesna | 54.7× | 4.1× | 5.7× | — | 0.2% |
| Lotte Tour Development | 15.4× | 2.2× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Soulbrain Holdings | 1.3× | 0.4× | 1.3× | — | 1.3% |
| Innocean Worldwide | 5.5× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 6.7% |
| Similar companies (median) | 12.6× | 1.7× | 1.2× | — | 0.7% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Inveni / INVENI / 015360 / KRX:015360
Source: KRX statistical information