The Lamy

032860 · KOSDAQ · ₩032860 · 더라미

₩3,550▲ ₩110 (3.20%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩17B
Equity value
−₩17B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩3,550, the model needs an operating margin of 5.5% every year (it uses −2.8%).
  • Margins ranged from −6.9% to 2.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−2.8%).

Revenue growth

  • -6.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -4.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -2.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 20.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.52, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩48B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩649M
Shares
8,079,172
Share price
₩3,550
Market cap
₩29B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩51B₩70B₩51B₩45B₩43B₩42B₩42B₩44B
Growth−18.5%36.9%−27.0%−6.6%−4.2%−1.8%0.6%3.0%
EBIT−₩3.5B₩1.6B−₩1.7B−₩1.3B−₩1.2B−₩1.2B−₩1.2B−₩1.2B
EBIT margin−6.9%2.3%−3.4%−2.8%−2.8%−2.8%−2.8%−2.8%
After-tax EBIT−₩2.6B₩1.2B−₩1.2B−₩911M−₩872M−₩857M−₩862M−₩888M
+ Depreciation———₩224M₩215M₩211M₩212M₩219M
− Capital spending₩389M₩176M₩489M₩314M₩301M₩295M₩297M₩306M
− Working capital₩6.9B₩1.1B−₩4.5B−₩644M−₩383M−₩157M₩51M₩259M
Free cash flow———−₩357M−₩576M−₩784M−₩998M−₩1.2B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———−₩332M−₩499M−₩633M−₩750M−₩863M

Terminal value −₩21B, worth −₩14B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩6,295 a share)Now 0.56×₩5,1550.82×₩17,8962.84×₩36,5725.81×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%—————
6.9%—————
7.4%—————
7.9%—————
8.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩29B
Enterprise value
₩28B
P/E
—
P/B
0.6×
P/S
0.6×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,615₩5,985₩18,200₩18,200₩20,300
Market cap₩53B₩48B₩147B₩147B₩164B
P/E—19.5×———
P/B1.0×0.9×2.8×5.8×5.1×
P/S1.0×0.7×2.9×2.4×3.5×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
The Lamy—0.6×0.6×—0.0%
Korea Electric Power2.3×0.4×0.2×5.7×5.5%
Korea Gas5.9×0.3×0.1×8.6×3.2%
Korea District Heating2.3×0.3×0.2×4.8×8.6%
SGC Energy—0.7×0.2×—4.0%
Samchully3.2×0.2×0.1×—2.5%
Seoul City Gas11.4×0.2×0.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)3.2×0.3×0.2×5.7×3.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: The Lamy / 더라미 / 032860 / KRX:032860

Source: KRX statistical information