Sampyo Cement

038500 · KOSDAQ · ₩038500 · 삼표시멘트

₩5,740▲ ₩160 (2.87%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩7,260

vs the current price (₩5,740)

Enterprise value
₩1.1T
Equity value
₩783B
WACC
6.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩2,962
−48.4%
Base
₩7,260
+26.5%
Bull
₩15,232
+165.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.3%).

Revenue growth

  • -2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 10.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 9.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 5.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 8.6%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.18, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩696B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩358B
− Minority interests
₩120M
Shares
107,916,306
Share price
₩5,740
Market cap
₩619B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩824B₩791B₩677B₩682B₩676B₩680B₩691B₩712B
Growth14.2%−4.0%−14.4%−2.1%−0.8%0.5%1.7%3.0%
EBIT₩85B₩104B₩77B₩70B₩70B₩70B₩71B₩73B
EBIT margin10.3%13.1%11.3%10.3%10.3%10.3%10.3%10.3%
After-tax EBIT₩61B₩75B₩56B₩51B₩51B₩51B₩52B₩53B
+ Depreciation₩70B₩74B₩77B₩67B₩66B₩67B₩68B₩70B
− Capital spending₩40B₩45B₩45B₩40B₩39B₩39B₩40B₩41B
− Working capital−₩33B₩11B₩29B−₩1.3B−₩469M₩291M₩994M₩1.8B
Free cash flow₩125B₩93B₩59B₩79B₩78B₩78B₩78B₩80B
Discount factor———0.9420.8870.8350.7870.741
Present value———₩75B₩69B₩65B₩62B₩59B

Terminal value ₩1.1T, worth ₩812B today: 71% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,231 a share)Now 0.79×₩3,2410.45×₩3,9540.55×₩7,7901.08×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩330 a share)Now 17.4×₩1,7345.26×₩4,12512.5×₩8,48325.7×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩174 a share)Now 33.0×₩9155.26×₩2,17712.5×₩4,47725.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.2%₩7,738₩8,797₩10,186₩12,093₩14,872
5.7%₩6,685₩7,496₩8,527₩9,881₩11,739
6.2%₩5,831₩6,470₩7,260₩8,265₩9,584
6.7%₩5,125₩5,638₩6,260₩7,030₩8,009
7.2%₩4,531₩4,950₩5,450₩6,056₩6,806

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩619B
Enterprise value
₩888B
P/E
17.4×
P/B
0.8×
P/S
0.9×
EV/EBITDA
6.1×
Dividend yield
2.1%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩4,990₩2,945₩3,130₩3,355₩4,730
Market cap₩539B₩318B₩338B₩362B₩510B
P/E13.2×4.8×10.0×12.0×25.1×
P/B0.7×0.4×0.5×0.5×0.8×
P/S0.8×0.4×0.4×0.5×0.9×
EV/EBITDA5.6×3.7×4.7×5.9×8.4×
Dividend yield2.4%3.7%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Sampyo Cement17.4×0.8×0.9×6.1×2.1%
Tokai Carbon Korea31.7×4.5×7.2×—0.7%
Hanilcementco11.9×0.7×0.9×—6.1%
Wonik QnC14.8×1.3×0.7×—0.5%
Hanil Holdings9.4×0.3×0.3×—6.0%
IS Dongseo5.1×0.3×0.4×—3.5%
KCC Glass—0.3×0.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)11.9×0.5×0.5×—2.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Sampyo Cement / 삼표시멘트 / 038500 / KRX:038500

Source: KRX statistical information