Union Materials

047400 · KOSPI · ₩047400 · 유니온머티리얼

₩746 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩13B
Equity value
−₩109B
WACC
4.9%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩746, the model needs an operating margin of 7.0% every year (it uses 0.3%).
  • Margins ranged from −15.2% to 5.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.3%).

Revenue growth

  • -6.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -4.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 0.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.23, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩100B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩95B
+ Stakes and investments
₩2M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
42,000,000
Share price
₩746
Market cap
₩31B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩116B₩108B₩102B₩93B₩89B₩87B₩87B₩90B
Growth−7.7%−7.0%−5.9%−6.9%−4.4%−1.9%0.5%3.0%
EBIT−₩4.7B−₩17B₩5.4B₩278M₩266M₩261M₩262M₩270M
EBIT margin−4.0%−15.2%5.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
After-tax EBIT−₩3.4B−₩12B₩3.9B₩202M₩193M₩189M₩190M₩196M
+ Depreciation₩9.3B₩8.1B₩2.4B₩5.6B₩5.3B₩5.2B₩5.2B₩5.4B
− Capital spending₩5.9B₩983M₩3.2B₩2.8B₩2.7B₩2.6B₩2.6B₩2.7B
− Working capital₩8B−₩11B−₩5.8B−₩2.7B−₩1.6B−₩674M₩174M₩1B
Free cash flow−₩7.9B₩6.5B₩9B₩5.7B₩4.5B₩3.5B₩2.6B₩1.8B
Discount factor———0.9530.9090.8660.8260.787
Present value———₩5.5B₩4.1B₩3B₩2.2B₩1.5B

Terminal value −₩38B, worth −₩30B today: 221% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩433 a share)Now 1.72×₩5901.36×₩7531.74×₩1,8784.34×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
3.9%—————
4.4%—————
4.9%—————
5.4%—————
5.9%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩31B
Enterprise value
₩126B
P/E
6.2×
P/B
1.7×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
16.3×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,336₩2,170₩2,905₩2,460₩3,175
Market cap₩56B₩91B₩122B₩103B₩133B
P/E22.8×———245.3×
P/B2.9×5.9×1.9×1.2×1.6×
P/S0.6×0.8×1.0×0.8×1.1×
EV/EBITDA18.4×—47.0×22.3×29.6×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Union Materials6.2×1.7×0.3×16.3×0.0%
Tokai Carbon Korea30.7×4.3×7.0×—0.7%
Hanilcementco12.1×0.7×0.9×—6.0%
Wonik QnC13.8×1.2×0.7×—0.5%
Sampyo Cement16.9×0.8×0.9×6.0×2.2%
Hanil Holdings9.5×0.3×0.3×—5.9%
IS Dongseo5.2×0.3×0.4×—3.5%
Similar companies (median)13.0×0.7×0.8×6.0×2.8%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Union Materials / 유니온머티리얼 / 047400 / KRX:047400

Source: KRX statistical information