Union Materials유니온머티리얼
047400 · KOSPI · ₩047400 · 유니온머티리얼
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩13B
- Equity value
- −₩109B
- WACC
- 4.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩746, the model needs an operating margin of 7.0% every year (it uses 0.3%).
- Margins ranged from −15.2% to 5.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.3%).
Revenue growth
- -6.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -4.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.23, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩100B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩95B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩2M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 42,000,000
- Share price
- ₩746
- Market cap
- ₩31B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩116B | ₩108B | ₩102B | ₩93B | ₩89B | ₩87B | ₩87B | ₩90B |
| Growth | −7.7% | −7.0% | −5.9% | −6.9% | −4.4% | −1.9% | 0.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩4.7B | −₩17B | ₩5.4B | ₩278M | ₩266M | ₩261M | ₩262M | ₩270M |
| EBIT margin | −4.0% | −15.2% | 5.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩3.4B | −₩12B | ₩3.9B | ₩202M | ₩193M | ₩189M | ₩190M | ₩196M |
| + Depreciation | ₩9.3B | ₩8.1B | ₩2.4B | ₩5.6B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.4B |
| − Capital spending | ₩5.9B | ₩983M | ₩3.2B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B |
| − Working capital | ₩8B | −₩11B | −₩5.8B | −₩2.7B | −₩1.6B | −₩674M | ₩174M | ₩1B |
| Free cash flow | −₩7.9B | ₩6.5B | ₩9B | ₩5.7B | ₩4.5B | ₩3.5B | ₩2.6B | ₩1.8B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.953 | 0.909 | 0.866 | 0.826 | 0.787 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩5.5B | ₩4.1B | ₩3B | ₩2.2B | ₩1.5B |
Terminal value −₩38B, worth −₩30B today: 221% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩433 a share)Now 1.72× | ₩5901.36× | ₩7531.74× | ₩1,8784.34× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩31B
- Enterprise value
- ₩126B
- P/E
- 6.2×
- P/B
- 1.7×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- 16.3×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,336 | ₩2,170 | ₩2,905 | ₩2,460 | ₩3,175 |
| Market cap | ₩56B | ₩91B | ₩122B | ₩103B | ₩133B |
| P/E | 22.8× | — | — | — | 245.3× |
| P/B | 2.9× | 5.9× | 1.9× | 1.2× | 1.6× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.8× | 1.0× | 0.8× | 1.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | 18.4× | — | 47.0× | 22.3× | 29.6× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Materials | 6.2× | 1.7× | 0.3× | 16.3× | 0.0% |
| Tokai Carbon Korea | 30.7× | 4.3× | 7.0× | — | 0.7% |
| Hanilcementco | 12.1× | 0.7× | 0.9× | — | 6.0% |
| Wonik QnC | 13.8× | 1.2× | 0.7× | — | 0.5% |
| Sampyo Cement | 16.9× | 0.8× | 0.9× | 6.0× | 2.2% |
| Hanil Holdings | 9.5× | 0.3× | 0.3× | — | 5.9% |
| IS Dongseo | 5.2× | 0.3× | 0.4× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 13.0× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 6.0× | 2.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Union Materials / 유니온머티리얼 / 047400 / KRX:047400
Source: KRX statistical information