Korea Credit Information고려신용정보
049720 · KOSDAQ · ₩049720 · 고려신용정보
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩17,369
vs the current price (₩8,720)
- Enterprise value
- ₩231B
- Equity value
- ₩248B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 99% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩8,720, the model needs an operating margin of 4.4% every year (it uses 8.8%).
- Or revenue growth −18.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 9.4× against a typical 12.9× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩10,356
- +18.8%
- Base
- ₩17,369
- +99.2%
- Bull
- ₩29,363
- +236.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.8%).
Revenue growth
- 6.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 8.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 11.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.02, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩178B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩12B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩5.3B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 14,300,000
- Share price
- ₩8,720
- Market cap
- ₩125B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩158B | ₩171B | ₩178B | ₩189B | ₩200B | ₩210B | ₩218B | ₩225B |
| Growth | 7.8% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩13B | ₩15B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩20B |
| EBIT margin | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩9.5B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B |
| + Depreciation | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.1B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B |
| − Working capital | ₩2.8B | ₩3.3B | ₩6.1B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.1B | ₩941M | ₩752M |
| Free cash flow | ₩5.8B | ₩7.5B | ₩5.8B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩9.5B | ₩9.5B | ₩9.4B | ₩9.3B | ₩9.1B |
Terminal value ₩262B, worth ₩184B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,544 a share)Now 1.92× | ₩10,3822.28× | ₩15,5163.41× | ₩20,3754.48× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩924 a share)Now 9.44× | ₩9,60510.4× | ₩11,92312.9× | ₩16,61318.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩193 a share)Now 45.1× | ₩2,01210.4× | ₩2,49712.9× | ₩3,48018.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩18,200 | ₩19,552 | ₩21,216 | ₩23,315 | ₩26,047 |
| 6.8% | ₩16,691 | ₩17,779 | ₩19,092 | ₩20,708 | ₩22,747 |
| 7.3% | ₩15,422 | ₩16,312 | ₩17,369 | ₩18,644 | ₩20,214 |
| 7.8% | ₩14,340 | ₩15,079 | ₩15,944 | ₩16,970 | ₩18,209 |
| 8.3% | ₩13,408 | ₩14,028 | ₩14,745 | ₩15,585 | ₩16,582 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩125B
- Enterprise value
- ₩113B
- P/E
- 9.4×
- P/B
- 1.9×
- P/S
- 0.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- 6.3×
- Dividend yield
- 5.7%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩10,560 | ₩10,110 | ₩9,520 | ₩10,800 | ₩8,510 |
| Market cap | ₩151B | ₩145B | ₩136B | ₩154B | ₩122B |
| P/E | 11.4× | 10.9× | 11.6× | 14.6× | 12.4× |
| P/B | 2.4× | 2.7× | 3.0× | 3.9× | 3.7× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.8× | 0.9× | 1.1× | 0.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.8× | 8.2× | 9.6× | 12.2× | 9.2× |
| Dividend yield | 4.7% | 4.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korea Credit Information | 9.4× | 1.9× | 0.7× | 6.3× | 5.7% |
| S-1 | 24.3× | 2.2× | 1.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Cheil Worldwide | 8.5× | 1.2× | 0.4× | — | 6.7% |
| Doosan Tesna | 50.9× | 3.9× | 5.3× | — | 0.2% |
| Lotte Tour Development | 15.2× | 2.1× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Soulbrain Holdings | 1.3× | 0.4× | 1.2× | — | 1.3% |
| Innocean Worldwide | 5.4× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 6.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 11.8× | 1.6× | 1.2× | — | 0.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Korea Credit Information / 고려신용정보 / 049720 / KRX:049720
Source: KRX statistical information