Idis Holdings아이디스홀딩스
054800 · KOSDAQ · ₩054800 · 아이디스홀딩스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩89,206
vs the current price (₩13,400)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1T
- Equity value
- ₩923B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 566% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩13,400, the model needs an operating margin of 3.1% every year (it uses 8.7%).
- Today's P/E is 2.7× against a typical 4.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩46,062
- +243.7%
- Base
- ₩89,206
- +565.7%
- Bull
- ₩164,812
- +1,129.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.7%).
Revenue growth
- 1.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 8.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 30.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.28, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩999B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩331B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩64B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩510B
- Shares
- 10,347,756
- Share price
- ₩13,400
- Market cap
- ₩139B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩749B | ₩781B | ₩908B | ₩1T | ₩1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.1T |
| Growth | −14.4% | 4.4% | 16.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩45B | ₩63B | ₩90B | ₩88B | ₩90B | ₩91B | ₩94B | ₩97B |
| EBIT margin | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩32B | ₩46B | ₩65B | ₩64B | ₩65B | ₩66B | ₩68B | ₩70B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩22B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩24B | ₩24B |
| − Capital spending | ₩35B | ₩17B | ₩13B | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩29B | ₩30B | ₩31B |
| − Working capital | −₩223B | −₩64B | ₩149B | ₩4B | ₩5.3B | ₩6.7B | ₩8.4B | ₩10B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩54B | ₩53B | ₩53B | ₩53B | ₩53B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩50B | ₩46B | ₩43B | ₩40B | ₩38B |
Terminal value ₩1.2T, worth ₩821B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩38,772 a share)Now 0.35× | ₩12,5000.32× | ₩16,8330.43× | ₩22,3720.58× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩5,039 a share)Now 2.66× | ₩16,0113.18× | ₩22,6504.50× | ₩40,6478.07× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,483 a share)Now 2.99× | ₩14,2463.18× | ₩20,1544.50× | ₩36,1688.07× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩97,396 | ₩104,342 | ₩112,871 | ₩123,608 | ₩137,554 |
| 6.8% | ₩87,782 | ₩93,238 | ₩99,805 | ₩107,869 | ₩118,019 |
| 7.3% | ₩79,699 | ₩84,053 | ₩89,206 | ₩95,407 | ₩103,020 |
| 7.8% | ₩72,810 | ₩76,330 | ₩80,437 | ₩85,296 | ₩91,142 |
| 8.3% | ₩66,869 | ₩69,746 | ₩73,061 | ₩76,928 | ₩81,503 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩139B
- Enterprise value
- −₩192B
- P/E
- 2.7×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩11,900 | ₩9,400 | ₩11,300 | ₩12,600 | ₩13,050 |
| Market cap | ₩123B | ₩97B | ₩117B | ₩130B | ₩135B |
| P/E | 3.2× | 3.4× | 5.6× | 3.4× | 30.7× |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.1× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.5% | 2.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idis Holdings | 2.7× | 0.3× | 0.1× | — | 2.2% |
| S-1 | 24.3× | 2.2× | 1.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Cheil Worldwide | 8.5× | 1.2× | 0.4× | — | 6.7% |
| Doosan Tesna | 50.9× | 3.9× | 5.3× | — | 0.2% |
| Lotte Tour Development | 15.2× | 2.1× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Soulbrain Holdings | 1.3× | 0.4× | 1.2× | — | 1.3% |
| Innocean Worldwide | 5.4× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 6.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 11.8× | 1.6× | 1.2× | — | 0.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Idis Holdings / 아이디스홀딩스 / 054800 / KRX:054800
Source: KRX statistical information