Jvmco제이브이엠
054950 · KOSDAQ · ₩054950 · 제이브이엠
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩50,216
vs the current price (₩23,150)
- Enterprise value
- ₩491B
- Equity value
- ₩607B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 117% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩23,150, the model needs an operating margin of 6.6% every year (it uses 18.2%).
- Or revenue growth −25.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 10.8% to 19.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 9.1× against a typical 12.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩36,276
- +56.7%
- Base
- ₩50,216
- +116.9%
- Bull
- ₩73,188
- +216.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (18.2%).
Revenue growth
- 6.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 18.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 12.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.02, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩178B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩115B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.3B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 12,089,892
- Share price
- ₩23,150
- Market cap
- ₩280B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩157B | ₩159B | ₩173B | ₩190B | ₩201B | ₩211B | ₩219B | ₩226B |
| Growth | 10.6% | 1.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩30B | ₩31B | ₩33B | ₩35B | ₩37B | ₩38B | ₩40B | ₩41B |
| EBIT margin | 19.0% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 18.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩24B | ₩25B | ₩26B | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩30B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩3.6B | ₩3.8B | ₩4B | ₩4.2B | ₩4.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.3B | ₩3.7B | ₩4.9B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.8B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.4B |
| − Working capital | −₩58B | ₩6.9B | ₩3.7B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.2B | ₩1B | ₩808M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩23B | ₩24B | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩28B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩21B | ₩21B | ₩21B | ₩20B | ₩20B |
Terminal value ₩553B, worth ₩389B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩20,334 a share)Now 1.14× | ₩23,9211.18× | ₩30,2981.49× | ₩40,9512.01× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,551 a share)Now 9.07× | ₩21,4398.40× | ₩30,51112.0× | ₩49,79919.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩3,173 a share)Now 7.30× | ₩26,6628.40× | ₩37,94312.0× | ₩61,93019.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩51,988 | ₩55,498 | ₩59,821 | ₩65,277 | ₩72,379 |
| 6.8% | ₩48,252 | ₩51,091 | ₩54,518 | ₩58,739 | ₩64,067 |
| 7.3% | ₩45,110 | ₩47,444 | ₩50,216 | ₩53,563 | ₩57,685 |
| 7.8% | ₩42,432 | ₩44,377 | ₩46,656 | ₩49,363 | ₩52,632 |
| 8.3% | ₩40,120 | ₩41,762 | ₩43,662 | ₩45,888 | ₩48,532 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩280B
- Enterprise value
- ₩163B
- P/E
- 9.1×
- P/B
- 1.1×
- P/S
- 1.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩25,850 | ₩19,060 | ₩26,500 | ₩20,450 | ₩13,950 |
| Market cap | ₩313B | ₩230B | ₩320B | ₩247B | ₩169B |
| P/E | 11.0× | 8.0× | 12.2× | 15.7× | 18.8× |
| P/B | 1.3× | 1.1× | 1.8× | 1.6× | 1.2× |
| P/S | 1.8× | 1.4× | 2.0× | 1.7× | 1.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.5% | 2.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jvmco | 9.1× | 1.1× | 1.6× | — | 2.8% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 193.9× | 4.3× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 78.4× | 23.3× | 31.6× | 70.6× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,058.2× | 13.0× | 34.0× | 2,036.0× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,137.6× | 53.0× | 156.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.1× | 6.4× | 10.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,622.5× | 911.6× | 733.9× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 626.0× | 18.1× | 32.8× | 1,053.3× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Jvmco / 제이브이엠 / 054950 / KRX:054950
Source: KRX statistical information