kt nasmediaKT나스미디어
089600 · KOSDAQ · ₩089600 · KT나스미디어
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩29,198
vs the current price (₩12,330)
- Enterprise value
- ₩328B
- Equity value
- ₩333B
- WACC
- 7.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 137% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩12,330, the model needs an operating margin of 8.6% every year (it uses 18.9%).
- Or revenue growth −24.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 10.4% to 34.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 9.5× against a typical 11.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩19,668
- +59.5%
- Base
- ₩29,198
- +136.8%
- Bull
- ₩45,160
- +266.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (18.9%).
Revenue growth
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 18.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.06, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩127B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩2.8B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩8.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 11,406,560
- Share price
- ₩12,330
- Market cap
- ₩141B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩109B | ₩104B | ₩118B | ₩131B | ₩135B | ₩139B | ₩143B | ₩147B |
| Growth | 1.3% | −5.0% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩19B | ₩17B | ₩12B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩28B |
| EBIT margin | 17.8% | 16.8% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 18.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩14B | ₩13B | ₩8.9B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩20B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.9B | ₩649M | ₩978M | ₩1.4B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.6B |
| − Working capital | ₩16B | ₩20B | ₩42B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩18B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.869 | 0.811 | 0.756 | 0.705 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩15B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
Terminal value ₩367B, worth ₩258B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩17,783 a share)Now 0.69× | ₩12,3300.69× | ₩19,0851.07× | ₩29,6211.67× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,296 a share)Now 9.51× | ₩12,2509.45× | ₩14,51311.2× | ₩19,29414.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,391 a share)Now 5.16× | ₩22,6029.45× | ₩26,77811.2× | ₩35,59914.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | ₩30,955 | ₩33,236 | ₩36,050 | ₩39,610 | ₩44,263 |
| 6.7% | ₩28,245 | ₩30,064 | ₩32,262 | ₩34,974 | ₩38,406 |
| 7.2% | ₩25,971 | ₩27,445 | ₩29,198 | ₩31,316 | ₩33,930 |
| 7.7% | ₩24,035 | ₩25,247 | ₩26,668 | ₩28,357 | ₩30,397 |
| 8.2% | ₩22,367 | ₩23,376 | ₩24,544 | ₩25,913 | ₩27,539 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩141B
- Enterprise value
- ₩127B
- P/E
- 9.5×
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 1.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩12,990 | ₩13,900 | ₩22,300 | ₩25,000 | ₩29,994 |
| Market cap | ₩148B | ₩159B | ₩254B | ₩285B | ₩342B |
| P/E | 22.0× | 144.4× | 14.7× | 11.9× | 14.0× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.9× | 1.3× | 1.6× | 2.0× |
| P/S | 1.3× | 1.5× | 2.3× | 2.6× | 3.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kt nasmedia | 9.5× | 0.7× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| S-1 | 24.3× | 2.2× | 1.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Cheil Worldwide | 8.5× | 1.2× | 0.4× | — | 6.7% |
| Doosan Tesna | 50.9× | 3.9× | 5.3× | — | 0.2% |
| Lotte Tour Development | 15.2× | 2.1× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Soulbrain Holdings | 1.3× | 0.4× | 1.2× | — | 1.3% |
| Innocean Worldwide | 5.4× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 6.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 11.8× | 1.6× | 1.2× | — | 0.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: kt nasmedia / KT나스미디어 / 089600 / KRX:089600
Source: KRX statistical information