Brainzcompany브레인즈컴퍼니
099390 · KOSDAQ · ₩099390 · 브레인즈컴퍼니
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩8,447
vs the current price (₩3,335)
- Enterprise value
- ₩63B
- Equity value
- ₩69B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 153% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,335, the model needs an operating margin of 6.7% every year (it uses 16.2%).
- Margins ranged from 8.4% to 30.0% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 67% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 4.0× against a typical 11.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩5,774
- +73.1%
- Base
- ₩8,447
- +153.3%
- Bull
- ₩12,907
- +287.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (16.2%).
Revenue growth
- 11.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 16.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.16, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩26B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩7B
- − Minority interests
- ₩393M
- Shares
- 8,208,283
- Share price
- ₩3,335
- Market cap
- ₩27B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩25B | ₩29B | ₩31B | ₩33B | ₩35B | ₩36B |
| Growth | 41.5% | 3.0% | −5.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3.3B | ₩3.6B | ₩2.1B | ₩4.6B | ₩5B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.7B | ₩5.8B |
| EBIT margin | 12.9% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 16.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.4B | ₩2.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.9B | ₩4.1B | ₩4.2B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩485M | ₩529M | ₩566M | ₩595M | ₩612M |
| − Capital spending | ₩340M | ₩433M | ₩833M | ₩599M | ₩653M | ₩699M | ₩734M | ₩757M |
| − Working capital | ₩2.5B | ₩3.3B | ₩4.5B | ₩1.1B | ₩1B | ₩883M | ₩666M | ₩420M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩2.1B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.9B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.9B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B |
Terminal value ₩73B, worth ₩51B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩6,593 a share)Now 0.51× | ₩3,9120.59× | ₩8,0291.22× | ₩16,3402.48× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩834 a share)Now 4.00× | ₩4,0714.88× | ₩9,35411.2× | ₩15,71618.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩722 a share)Now 4.62× | ₩3,5244.88× | ₩8,09611.2× | ₩13,60118.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩8,963 | ₩9,551 | ₩10,270 | ₩11,172 | ₩12,337 |
| 6.9% | ₩8,232 | ₩8,701 | ₩9,265 | ₩9,956 | ₩10,821 |
| 7.4% | ₩7,615 | ₩7,996 | ₩8,447 | ₩8,988 | ₩9,650 |
| 7.9% | ₩7,088 | ₩7,402 | ₩7,767 | ₩8,199 | ₩8,718 |
| 8.4% | ₩6,633 | ₩6,894 | ₩7,195 | ₩7,545 | ₩7,959 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩27B
- Enterprise value
- ₩20B
- P/E
- 4.0×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 1.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,350 | ₩5,040 | ₩7,360 | ₩6,740 | ₩14,841 |
| Market cap | ₩44B | ₩41B | ₩60B | ₩55B | ₩122B |
| P/E | 8.6× | 8.6× | 12.0× | 11.0× | 24.7× |
| P/B | 0.8× | 0.8× | 1.3× | 1.3× | 3.0× |
| P/S | 1.8× | 1.6× | 2.3× | 3.0× | 6.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.2% | 1.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brainzcompany | 4.0× | 0.5× | 1.1× | — | 5.1% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 46.8× | 4.7× | 2.0× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 6.9× | 1.2× | 2.0× | 8.3× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.0× | 3.0× | 5.1× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.7× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Brainzcompany / 브레인즈컴퍼니 / 099390 / KRX:099390
Source: KRX statistical information