Selvas AI

108860 · KOSDAQ · ₩108860 · 셀바스AI

₩8,050▲ ₩270 (3.47%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
₩81B
Equity value
−₩41B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩8,050, the model needs an operating margin of 14.7% every year (it uses 5.4%).
  • Margins ranged from 0.7% to 11.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩2,599
−67.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.4%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (31.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (31.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (31.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (31.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (31.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 5.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.31, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩120B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩33B
+ Stakes and investments
₩90M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩154B
Shares
26,914,790
Share price
₩8,050
Market cap
₩217B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩53B₩112B₩115B₩150B₩180B₩205B₩222B₩229B
Growth4.2%112.1%2.1%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩4.1B₩800M₩1.5B₩8.1B₩9.7B₩11B₩12B₩12B
EBIT margin7.7%0.7%1.3%5.4%5.4%5.4%5.4%5.4%
After-tax EBIT₩3B₩580M₩1.1B₩5.9B₩7B₩8B₩8.7B₩9B
+ Depreciation———₩2.1B₩2.5B₩2.9B₩3.1B₩3.2B
− Capital spending₩630M₩2.6B₩2.2B₩2.7B₩3.2B₩3.7B₩4B₩4.1B
− Working capital₩8.9B₩88B−₩15B₩12B₩12B₩10B₩7B₩2.7B
Free cash flow———−₩6.7B−₩5.4B−₩2.9B₩848M₩5.4B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———−₩6.3B−₩4.7B−₩2.3B₩637M₩3.8B

Terminal value ₩128B, worth ₩90B today: 111% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,084 a share)Now 1.97×₩9,6612.37×₩13,2873.25×₩34,1328.36×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%————₩3
6.9%—————
7.4%—————
7.9%—————
8.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩217B
Enterprise value
₩182B
P/E
—
P/B
2.0×
P/S
1.8×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩12,200₩11,640₩19,720₩6,720₩11,750
Market cap₩328B₩313B₩531B₩181B₩316B
P/E———27.4×83.5×
P/B3.0×2.6×4.0×3.3×7.7×
P/S2.9×2.8×10.0×3.6×6.5×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Selvas AI—2.0×1.8×—0.0%
Hyundai Autoever50.3×5.1×2.1×—0.5%
Krafton10.1×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.4×0.6%
Netmarble7.0×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss7.9×2.1×3.0×5.2×0.0%
Shift UP8.9×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.4×1.5×2.1×6.8×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Selvas AI / 셀바스AI / 108860 / KRX:108860

Source: KRX statistical information