Advanced Nano Products

121600 · KOSDAQ · ₩121600 · 나노신소재

₩61,300▲ ₩3,600 (6.24%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩77B
Equity value
−₩1.8B
WACC
8.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩61,300, the model needs an operating margin of 49.0% every year (it uses 9.0%).
  • Margins ranged from 3.4% to 21.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 50% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 48.9× against a typical 83.2× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩5,044
−91.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (9.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 11.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 9.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 7.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 8.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 38.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.79

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.69, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩129B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩76B
Shares
12,262,191
Share price
₩61,300
Market cap
₩752B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩83B₩88B₩112B₩145B₩158B₩170B₩179B₩184B
Growth4.1%5.5%27.3%11.8%9.6%7.4%5.2%3.0%
EBIT₩12B₩3B₩4.7B₩13B₩14B₩15B₩16B₩17B
EBIT margin14.3%3.4%4.2%9.0%9.0%9.0%9.0%9.0%
After-tax EBIT₩8.6B₩2.2B₩3.4B₩9.4B₩10B₩11B₩12B₩12B
+ Depreciation—₩7B₩11B₩13B₩14B₩15B₩16B₩16B
− Capital spending₩40B₩51B₩12B₩56B₩61B₩66B₩69B₩72B
− Working capital−₩80B₩6.4B−₩28B₩6.1B₩5.6B₩4.7B₩3.5B₩2.1B
Free cash flow—−₩48B₩30B−₩40B−₩43B−₩45B−₩46B−₩45B
Discount factor———0.9220.8500.7840.7230.666
Present value———−₩37B−₩36B−₩35B−₩33B−₩30B

Terminal value ₩141B, worth ₩94B today: -122% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩21,650 a share)Now 2.83×₩54,7032.53×₩110,6255.11×₩189,6288.76×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,254 a share)Now 48.9×₩55,70044.4×₩104,32983.2×₩118,73394.7×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,973 a share)Now 31.1×₩87,63744.4×₩164,14983.2×₩186,81294.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.5%₩415₩827₩1,311₩1,888₩2,590
8.0%—₩129₩505₩945₩1,471
8.5%———₩195₩594
9.0%—————
9.5%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩752B
Enterprise value
₩675B
P/E
48.9×
P/B
2.8×
P/S
5.8×
EV/EBITDA
30.4×
Dividend yield
0.4%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩49,950₩58,200₩120,600₩77,500₩68,700
Market cap₩612B₩714B₩1.5T₩950B₩842B
P/E374.6×—88.2×49.5×113.4×
P/B2.5×2.9×6.2×4.8×8.4×
P/S5.5×8.1×17.8×11.9×13.8×
EV/EBITDA34.7×62.4×—46.0×96.3×
Dividend yield0.5%0.4%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Advanced Nano Products48.9×2.8×5.8×30.4×0.4%
LG Chem—0.5×0.3×—0.8%
Hanwha Solutions—0.6×0.4×—0.0%
Hanwha6.3×0.4×0.1×—1.4%
SKC—2.1×2.0×—0.0%
KCC0.9×0.3×0.5×8.9×0.0%
Kumho Petro Chemical5.3×0.4×0.4×—1.6%
Similar companies (median)5.3×0.4×0.4×8.9×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Advanced Nano Products / 나노신소재 / 121600 / KRX:121600

Source: KRX statistical information