Advanced Nano Products나노신소재
121600 · KOSDAQ · ₩121600 · 나노신소재
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩77B
- Equity value
- −₩1.8B
- WACC
- 8.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩61,300, the model needs an operating margin of 49.0% every year (it uses 9.0%).
- Margins ranged from 3.4% to 21.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 50% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 48.9× against a typical 83.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩5,044
- −91.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (9.0%).
Revenue growth
- 11.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 8.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 38.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.79
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.69, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩129B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩76B
- Shares
- 12,262,191
- Share price
- ₩61,300
- Market cap
- ₩752B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩83B | ₩88B | ₩112B | ₩145B | ₩158B | ₩170B | ₩179B | ₩184B |
| Growth | 4.1% | 5.5% | 27.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩12B | ₩3B | ₩4.7B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩17B |
| EBIT margin | 14.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩8.6B | ₩2.2B | ₩3.4B | ₩9.4B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| + Depreciation | — | ₩7B | ₩11B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩16B |
| − Capital spending | ₩40B | ₩51B | ₩12B | ₩56B | ₩61B | ₩66B | ₩69B | ₩72B |
| − Working capital | −₩80B | ₩6.4B | −₩28B | ₩6.1B | ₩5.6B | ₩4.7B | ₩3.5B | ₩2.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | −₩48B | ₩30B | −₩40B | −₩43B | −₩45B | −₩46B | −₩45B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.922 | 0.850 | 0.784 | 0.723 | 0.666 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩37B | −₩36B | −₩35B | −₩33B | −₩30B |
Terminal value ₩141B, worth ₩94B today: -122% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩21,650 a share)Now 2.83× | ₩54,7032.53× | ₩110,6255.11× | ₩189,6288.76× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,254 a share)Now 48.9× | ₩55,70044.4× | ₩104,32983.2× | ₩118,73394.7× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,973 a share)Now 31.1× | ₩87,63744.4× | ₩164,14983.2× | ₩186,81294.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5% | ₩415 | ₩827 | ₩1,311 | ₩1,888 | ₩2,590 |
| 8.0% | — | ₩129 | ₩505 | ₩945 | ₩1,471 |
| 8.5% | — | — | — | ₩195 | ₩594 |
| 9.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩752B
- Enterprise value
- ₩675B
- P/E
- 48.9×
- P/B
- 2.8×
- P/S
- 5.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- 30.4×
- Dividend yield
- 0.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩49,950 | ₩58,200 | ₩120,600 | ₩77,500 | ₩68,700 |
| Market cap | ₩612B | ₩714B | ₩1.5T | ₩950B | ₩842B |
| P/E | 374.6× | — | 88.2× | 49.5× | 113.4× |
| P/B | 2.5× | 2.9× | 6.2× | 4.8× | 8.4× |
| P/S | 5.5× | 8.1× | 17.8× | 11.9× | 13.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | 34.7× | 62.4× | — | 46.0× | 96.3× |
| Dividend yield | 0.5% | 0.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Nano Products | 48.9× | 2.8× | 5.8× | 30.4× | 0.4% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.3× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 2.1× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 8.9× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 8.9× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Advanced Nano Products / 나노신소재 / 121600 / KRX:121600
Source: KRX statistical information