Emnet이엠넷
123570 · KOSDAQ · ₩123570 · 이엠넷
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩4,998
vs the current price (₩1,520)
- Enterprise value
- ₩43B
- Equity value
- ₩111B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 229% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,520, the model needs an operating margin of −10.1% every year (it uses 11.9%).
- Margins ranged from 0.9% to 28.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 64% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 16.4× against a typical 12.4× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩4,367
- +187.3%
- Base
- ₩4,998
- +228.8%
- Bull
- ₩6,081
- +300.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.9%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 11.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩33B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩64B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩7.7B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩3.5B
- Shares
- 22,276,078
- Share price
- ₩1,520
- Market cap
- ₩34B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩35B | ₩36B | ₩32B | ₩30B | ₩28B | ₩27B | ₩27B | ₩28B |
| Growth | −20.8% | 3.7% | −11.2% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3.7B | ₩4.8B | ₩274M | ₩3.5B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.3B |
| EBIT margin | 10.5% | 13.1% | 0.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.7B | ₩3.4B | ₩199M | ₩2.6B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B |
| + Depreciation | ₩1.6B | ₩1.1B | ₩1B | ₩1.1B | ₩999M | ₩964M | ₩962M | ₩991M |
| − Capital spending | ₩58M | ₩293M | ₩152M | ₩149M | ₩139M | ₩134M | ₩134M | ₩138M |
| − Working capital | −₩36B | −₩2.2B | ₩8.8B | −₩1.3B | −₩797M | −₩389M | −₩21M | ₩321M |
| Free cash flow | ₩41B | ₩6.5B | −₩7.7B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.1B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.2B | ₩2.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩4.5B | ₩3.5B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.4B | ₩2B |
Terminal value ₩40B, worth ₩28B today: 64% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,324 a share)Now 0.35× | ₩1,9210.44× | ₩3,2240.75× | ₩6,7491.56× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩93 a share)Now 16.4× | ₩8278.94× | ₩1,15012.4× | ₩1,66117.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩132 a share)Now 11.5× | ₩1,1818.94× | ₩1,64112.4× | ₩2,37117.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩5,131 | ₩5,242 | ₩5,378 | ₩5,549 | ₩5,772 |
| 6.8% | ₩4,977 | ₩5,064 | ₩5,169 | ₩5,298 | ₩5,460 |
| 7.3% | ₩4,846 | ₩4,916 | ₩4,998 | ₩5,098 | ₩5,219 |
| 7.8% | ₩4,734 | ₩4,791 | ₩4,856 | ₩4,935 | ₩5,028 |
| 8.3% | ₩4,637 | ₩4,683 | ₩4,737 | ₩4,799 | ₩4,873 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩34B
- Enterprise value
- −₩31B
- P/E
- 16.4×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 1.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,942 | ₩2,300 | ₩3,670 | ₩4,080 | ₩6,800 |
| Market cap | ₩43B | ₩51B | ₩82B | ₩91B | ₩151B |
| P/E | 22.1× | 8.9× | 20.2× | 13.5× | 5.9× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.9× | 1.0× | 1.7× |
| P/S | 1.3× | 1.4× | 2.3× | 2.1× | 4.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | 5.5× | 7.3× | 11.7× |
| Dividend yield | 3.1% | 2.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emnet | 16.4× | 0.4× | 1.0× | — | 3.9% |
| S-1 | 24.3× | 2.2× | 1.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Cheil Worldwide | 8.5× | 1.2× | 0.4× | — | 6.7% |
| Doosan Tesna | 50.9× | 3.9× | 5.3× | — | 0.2% |
| Lotte Tour Development | 15.2× | 2.1× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Soulbrain Holdings | 1.3× | 0.4× | 1.2× | — | 1.3% |
| Innocean Worldwide | 5.4× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 6.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 11.8× | 1.6× | 1.2× | — | 0.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Emnet / 이엠넷 / 123570 / KRX:123570
Source: KRX statistical information