NICE D&B

130580 · KOSDAQ · ₩130580 · 나이스디앤비

₩6,600▲ ₩10 (0.15%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩16,424

vs the current price (₩6,600)

Enterprise value
₩204B
Equity value
₩253B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 149% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩6,600, the model needs an operating margin of 5.2% every year (it uses 17.4%).
  • Today's P/E is 7.7× against a typical 7.5× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩12,112
+83.5%
Base
₩16,424
+148.8%
Bull
₩23,599
+257.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (17.4%).

Revenue growth

  • -0.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 17.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.9%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 39.4%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.07, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩94B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩36B
+ Stakes and investments
₩13B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
15,400,000
Share price
₩6,600
Market cap
₩102B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩88B₩90B₩91B₩94B₩94B₩95B₩97B₩100B
Growth−4.6%2.0%1.9%−0.3%0.5%1.4%2.2%3.0%
EBIT₩14B₩16B₩15B₩16B₩16B₩17B₩17B₩17B
EBIT margin16.1%17.6%16.9%17.4%17.4%17.4%17.4%17.4%
After-tax EBIT₩10B₩11B₩11B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩13B
+ Depreciation₩2.8B₩2.6B₩2.3B₩2.7B₩2.7B₩2.8B₩2.8B₩2.9B
− Capital spending₩2B₩2.1B₩1.3B₩1.9B₩1.9B₩1.9B₩1.9B₩2B
− Working capital₩2.4B₩4.1B₩5.8B−₩111M₩184M₩519M₩827M₩1.2B
Free cash flow₩8.6B₩7.8B₩6.4B₩13B₩13B₩12B₩12B₩12B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———₩12B₩11B₩10B₩9.3B₩8.7B

Terminal value ₩218B, worth ₩153B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,954 a share)Now 0.83×₩5,8620.74×₩7,8680.99×₩15,6391.97×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩861 a share)Now 7.67×₩4,6865.44×₩6,4677.51×₩9,70911.3×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,922 a share)Now 3.43×₩10,4635.44×₩14,4407.51×₩21,67911.3×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩17,238₩18,186₩19,347₩20,803₩22,684
6.9%₩16,066₩16,825₩17,737₩18,854₩20,254
7.4%₩15,077₩15,694₩16,424₩17,301₩18,375
7.9%₩14,230₩14,739₩15,333₩16,034₩16,877
8.4%₩13,498₩13,922₩14,411₩14,981₩15,656

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩102B
Enterprise value
₩62B
P/E
7.7×
P/B
0.8×
P/S
1.1×
EV/EBITDA
3.1×
Dividend yield
3.4%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,410₩4,820₩6,260₩7,700₩9,610
Market cap₩99B₩74B₩96B₩119B₩148B
P/E7.6×5.4×9.3×8.7×11.1×
P/B0.9×0.7×1.1×1.4×2.0×
P/S1.1×0.8×1.1×1.3×1.7×
EV/EBITDA3.3×2.2×4.2×5.3×6.3×
Dividend yield3.5%4.3%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
NICE D&B7.7×0.8×1.1×3.1×3.4%
S-123.7×2.1×1.3×—0.0%
Cheil Worldwide9.7×1.3×0.5×—6.6%
Doosan Tesna59.6×4.5×6.2×—0.2%
Lotte Tour Development16.0×2.2×1.2×—0.0%
Soulbrain Holdings1.3×0.4×1.3×—1.3%
Innocean Worldwide5.5×0.6×0.3×—6.7%
Similar companies (median)12.9×1.7×1.2×—0.7%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: NICE D&B / 나이스디앤비 / 130580 / KRX:130580

Source: KRX statistical information