TSE티에스이
131290 · KOSDAQ · ₩131290 · 티에스이
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩86,788
vs the current price (₩260,000)
- Enterprise value
- ₩977B
- Equity value
- ₩960B
- WACC
- 7.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 67% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩260,000, the model needs an operating margin of 35.8% every year (it uses 14.3%).
- Or revenue growth +31.4 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −1.0% to 17.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 27.5× against a typical 16.9× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩53,216
- −79.5%
- Base
- ₩86,788
- −66.6%
- Bull
- ₩143,370
- −44.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (14.3%).
Revenue growth
- 8.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 14.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 11%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 13.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 35.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.62
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.43, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩568B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩79B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩12B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩107B
- Shares
- 11,061,429
- Share price
- ₩260,000
- Market cap
- ₩2.9T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩249B | ₩348B | ₩429B | ₩614B | ₩655B | ₩692B | ₩722B | ₩744B |
| Growth | −26.6% | 39.7% | 23.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩2.4B | ₩40B | ₩49B | ₩88B | ₩94B | ₩99B | ₩103B | ₩106B |
| EBIT margin | −1.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.7B | ₩29B | ₩36B | ₩64B | ₩68B | ₩72B | ₩75B | ₩77B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩68B | ₩72B | ₩76B | ₩79B | ₩82B |
| − Capital spending | ₩51B | ₩30B | ₩51B | ₩84B | ₩90B | ₩95B | ₩99B | ₩102B |
| − Working capital | −₩38B | ₩37B | ₩14B | ₩16B | ₩15B | ₩13B | ₩11B | ₩7.8B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩31B | ₩35B | ₩40B | ₩45B | ₩49B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.930 | 0.865 | 0.805 | 0.748 | 0.696 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩28B | ₩31B | ₩32B | ₩33B | ₩34B |
Terminal value ₩1.2T, worth ₩818B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩42,844 a share)Now 6.07× | ₩56,9801.33× | ₩81,5031.90× | ₩204,4404.77× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩9,461 a share)Now 27.5× | ₩75,5787.99× | ₩159,80116.9× | ₩352,80037.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩13,327 a share)Now 19.5× | ₩106,4627.99× | ₩225,10216.9× | ₩496,96837.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | ₩93,200 | ₩99,826 | ₩107,899 | ₩117,959 | ₩130,854 |
| 7.0% | ₩84,648 | ₩89,946 | ₩96,283 | ₩104,004 | ₩113,624 |
| 7.5% | ₩77,424 | ₩81,724 | ₩86,788 | ₩92,845 | ₩100,224 |
| 8.0% | ₩71,243 | ₩74,777 | ₩78,885 | ₩83,723 | ₩89,508 |
| 8.5% | ₩65,896 | ₩68,832 | ₩72,207 | ₩76,128 | ₩80,746 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩2.9T
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.8T
- P/E
- 27.5×
- P/B
- 6.1×
- P/S
- 5.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩57,600 | ₩41,250 | ₩49,450 | ₩36,950 | ₩73,700 |
| Market cap | ₩637B | ₩456B | ₩547B | ₩409B | ₩815B |
| P/E | 16.7× | 10.7× | 4,523.9× | 8.2× | 18.2× |
| P/B | 1.6× | 1.3× | 1.9× | 1.4× | 3.4× |
| P/S | 1.5× | 1.3× | 2.2× | 1.2× | 2.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.8% | 1.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE | 27.5× | 6.1× | 5.1× | — | 0.2% |
| Kctech | 20.8× | 3.2× | 3.8× | 16.1× | 0.5% |
| Classys | 12.6× | 3.1× | 4.7× | 9.8× | 3.8% |
| Park Systems | 68.1× | 4.6× | 8.1× | — | 0.2% |
| Curiox Biosystems | — | 21.9× | 187.1× | — | 0.0% |
| DI | 36.7× | 5.0× | 2.2× | — | 0.7% |
| Seers | 24.1× | 14.8× | 10.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 24.1× | 4.8× | 6.4× | 13.0× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: TSE / 티에스이 / 131290 / KRX:131290
Source: KRX statistical information