IT'S Hanbul잇츠한불
226320 · KOSPI · ₩226320 · 잇츠한불
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩6,828
vs the current price (₩10,530)
- Enterprise value
- ₩181B
- Equity value
- ₩150B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 35% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩10,530, the model needs an operating margin of 11.7% every year (it uses 8.6%).
- Or revenue growth +12.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 0.5% to 12.6% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 48% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 6.9× against a typical 20.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩3,215
- −69.5%
- Base
- ₩6,828
- −35.2%
- Bull
- ₩13,185
- +25.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.6%).
Revenue growth
- 5.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 8.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩172B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩58B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩28B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩117B
- Shares
- 21,929,315
- Share price
- ₩10,530
- Market cap
- ₩231B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩139B | ₩142B | ₩153B | ₩182B | ₩191B | ₩199B | ₩206B | ₩212B |
| Growth | 6.5% | 2.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩8.1B | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩18B |
| EBIT margin | 5.8% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩5.8B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩3.3B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B |
| − Capital spending | ₩4.3B | ₩3.6B | ₩1.8B | ₩4B | ₩4.2B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.7B |
| − Working capital | −₩274B | ₩5B | ₩304B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.2B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.5B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩6.8B | ₩7.6B | ₩8.4B | ₩9.1B | ₩9.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩6.3B | ₩6.6B | ₩6.8B | ₩6.9B | ₩6.9B |
Terminal value ₩211B, worth ₩148B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩18,367 a share)Now 0.57× | ₩11,1800.61× | ₩13,7350.75× | ₩19,3311.05× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,519 a share)Now 6.93× | ₩12,7418.39× | ₩31,21120.5× | ₩56,45537.2× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,756 a share)Now 6.00× | ₩14,7288.39× | ₩36,08020.5× | ₩65,26437.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩7,658 | ₩8,176 | ₩8,807 | ₩9,599 | ₩10,620 |
| 6.9% | ₩6,837 | ₩7,237 | ₩7,716 | ₩8,302 | ₩9,034 |
| 7.4% | ₩6,145 | ₩6,459 | ₩6,828 | ₩7,271 | ₩7,812 |
| 7.9% | ₩5,554 | ₩5,803 | ₩6,092 | ₩6,433 | ₩6,840 |
| 8.4% | ₩5,045 | ₩5,244 | ₩5,472 | ₩5,737 | ₩6,049 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩231B
- Enterprise value
- ₩173B
- P/E
- 6.9×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 1.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.6%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩11,120 | ₩10,670 | ₩12,250 | ₩17,850 | ₩17,700 |
| Market cap | ₩244B | ₩234B | ₩269B | ₩391B | ₩388B |
| P/E | 14.6× | 14.2× | 79.1× | — | — |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 1.1× | 1.0× |
| P/S | 1.6× | 1.6× | 1.9× | 3.0× | 2.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.5% | 2.3% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IT'S Hanbul | 6.9× | 0.6× | 1.3× | — | 2.6% |
| APR | 25.0× | 16.7× | 4.7× | 24.7× | 1.8% |
| Amorepacific | 25.5× | 1.3× | 1.6× | — | 1.0% |
| LG H&H | — | 0.7× | 0.6× | 6.9× | 0.8% |
| Cosmax | 16.0× | 4.6× | 1.1× | 13.7× | 1.3% |
| Kolmar Korea | 15.0× | 2.8× | 0.9× | — | 0.7% |
| d'Alba Global | 17.0× | 7.3× | 2.9× | — | 1.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 17.0× | 3.7× | 1.4× | 13.7× | 1.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: IT'S Hanbul / 잇츠한불 / 226320 / KRX:226320
Source: KRX statistical information