Cosmecca Korea

241710 · KOSDAQ · ₩241710 · 코스메카코리아

₩103,000▲ ₩800 (0.78%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩100,255

vs the current price (₩103,000)

Enterprise value
₩1.3T
Equity value
₩1.1T
WACC
7.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩45,838
−55.5%
Base
₩100,255
−2.7%
Bull
₩196,096
+90.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 17.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 13.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (17.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 10%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 6.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 7.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 23.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.11, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩772B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩156B
+ Stakes and investments
₩708M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩61B
Shares
10,680,000
Share price
₩103,000
Market cap
₩1.1T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩471B₩524B₩641B₩904B₩1T₩1.1T₩1.2T₩1.2T
Growth17.9%11.4%22.2%17.1%13.6%10.0%6.5%3.0%
EBIT₩49B₩60B₩84B₩90B₩103B₩113B₩120B₩124B
EBIT margin10.4%11.5%13.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%
After-tax EBIT₩36B₩44B₩61B₩66B₩74B₩82B₩87B₩90B
+ Depreciation———₩55B₩63B₩69B₩73B₩76B
− Capital spending₩19B₩49B₩61B₩69B₩78B₩86B₩91B₩94B
− Working capital₩13B₩7.9B₩30B₩31B₩29B₩24B₩17B₩8.4B
Free cash flow———₩21B₩30B₩41B₩52B₩63B
Discount factor———0.9350.8740.8170.7640.714
Present value———₩20B₩27B₩34B₩40B₩45B

Terminal value ₩1.6T, worth ₩1.1T today: 87% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩25,638 a share)Now 4.02×₩17,7000.69×₩59,6912.33×₩110,3784.31×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩5,976 a share)Now 17.2×₩79,92413.4×₩113,80019.0×₩190,98032.0×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩6,764 a share)Now 15.2×₩90,45913.4×₩128,80019.0×₩216,15232.0×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.0%₩108,839₩119,822₩133,547₩151,202₩174,771
6.5%₩95,852₩104,483₩115,024₩128,196₩145,139
7.0%₩85,065₩91,975₩100,255₩110,367₩123,003
7.5%₩75,969₩81,584₩88,210₩96,150₩105,847
8.0%₩68,197₩72,821₩78,204₩84,555₩92,166

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩1.1T
Enterprise value
₩1.2T
P/E
17.2×
P/B
4.0×
P/S
1.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩66,600₩55,300₩36,300₩10,250₩12,950
Market cap₩711B₩591B₩388B₩109B₩138B
P/E15.7×13.8×17.4×41.2×15.5×
P/B2.8×2.7×2.3×0.7×1.0×
P/S1.1×1.1×0.8×0.3×0.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Cosmecca Korea17.2×4.0×1.4×—0.0%
APR25.0×16.7×4.7×24.7×1.8%
Amorepacific25.5×1.3×1.6×—1.0%
LG H&H—0.7×0.6×6.9×0.8%
Cosmax16.0×4.6×1.1×13.7×1.3%
Kolmar Korea15.0×2.8×0.9×—0.7%
d'Alba Global17.0×7.3×2.9×—1.8%
Similar companies (median)17.0×3.7×1.4×13.7×1.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Cosmecca Korea / 코스메카코리아 / 241710 / KRX:241710

Source: KRX statistical information