Xavis자비스
254120 · KOSDAQ · ₩254120 · 자비스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩41B
- Equity value
- −₩41B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,800, the model needs an operating margin of 7.3% every year (it uses −7.4%).
- Margins ranged from −24.8% to 3.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−7.4%).
Revenue growth
- 7.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -7.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 36.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.36, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩27B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩147M
- Shares
- 6,150,854
- Share price
- ₩3,800
- Market cap
- ₩23B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩29B | ₩38B | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩31B | ₩33B | ₩34B | ₩35B |
| Growth | 28.6% | 31.0% | −25.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩841M | ₩1.2B | −₩3.9B | −₩2.2B | −₩2.3B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.6B | −₩2.6B |
| EBIT margin | 2.9% | 3.2% | −14.1% | −7.4% | −7.4% | −7.4% | −7.4% | −7.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩609M | ₩874M | −₩2.8B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.9B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩884M | ₩941M | ₩992M | ₩1B | ₩1.1B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B |
| − Working capital | ₩13B | −₩8B | −₩3B | ₩771M | ₩701M | ₩620M | ₩508M | ₩378M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩2.6B | −₩2.7B | −₩2.7B | −₩2.7B | −₩2.6B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩2.5B | −₩2.3B | −₩2.2B | −₩2B | −₩1.8B |
Terminal value −₩43B, worth −₩30B today: 73% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,875 a share)Now 0.98× | ₩5,3091.37× | ₩9,7252.51× | ₩25,9066.69× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩23B
- Enterprise value
- ₩23B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.0×
- P/S
- 0.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩7,455 | ₩6,325 | ₩11,075 | ₩7,453 | ₩10,282 |
| Market cap | ₩46B | ₩39B | ₩68B | ₩46B | ₩63B |
| P/E | — | 29.5× | — | 126.3× | — |
| P/B | 1.8× | 1.4× | 2.5× | 4.6× | 6.6× |
| P/S | 1.6× | 1.0× | 2.4× | 2.1× | 3.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavis | — | 1.0× | 0.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 217.2× | 4.8× | 2.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 87.4× | 26.0× | 35.2× | 78.7× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,189.7× | 14.6× | 38.2× | 2,291.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,610.6× | 59.1× | 174.0× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.5× | 6.9× | 11.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Wonik IPS | 28.2× | 4.5× | 5.3× | 42.7× | 0.2% |
| Similar companies (median) | 152.3× | 10.7× | 23.4× | 78.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Xavis / 자비스 / 254120 / KRX:254120
Source: KRX statistical information