NFC엔에프씨
265740 · KOSDAQ · ₩265740 · 엔에프씨
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩11,239
vs the current price (₩6,890)
- Enterprise value
- ₩198B
- Equity value
- ₩201B
- WACC
- 7.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 63% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩6,890, the model needs an operating margin of 8.2% every year (it uses 11.9%).
- Or revenue growth −14.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −17.6% to 17.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 11.1× against a typical 20.3× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩6,731
- −2.3%
- Base
- ₩11,239
- +63.1%
- Bull
- ₩18,816
- +173.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.9%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (32.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (32.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (32.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (32.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (32.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 11.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 34.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.62
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.44, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩93B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩3B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩207M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 17,863,600
- Share price
- ₩6,890
- Market cap
- ₩123B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩43B | ₩40B | ₩72B | ₩116B | ₩138B | ₩158B | ₩171B | ₩176B |
| Growth | 38.9% | −6.2% | 78.1% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.1B | −₩7.1B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩16B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩21B |
| EBIT margin | 9.5% | −17.6% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.9B | −₩5.1B | ₩9.1B | ₩10B | ₩12B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩15B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩3.2B | ₩3.9B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.9B |
| − Capital spending | ₩820M | ₩221M | ₩5.7B | ₩4.1B | ₩4.8B | ₩5.5B | ₩6B | ₩6.2B |
| − Working capital | ₩16B | −₩14B | ₩10B | ₩7.9B | ₩7.7B | ₩6.6B | ₩4.6B | ₩1.8B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩1.2B | ₩3.2B | ₩5.9B | ₩9B | ₩12B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.930 | 0.865 | 0.805 | 0.748 | 0.696 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.1B | ₩2.8B | ₩4.7B | ₩6.7B | ₩8.5B |
Terminal value ₩250B, worth ₩174B today: 88% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,992 a share)Now 1.73× | ₩3,7380.94× | ₩5,4001.35× | ₩8,4862.13× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩620 a share)Now 11.1× | ₩6,89011.1× | ₩12,55120.3× | ₩35,04156.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩16 a share)Now 430.2× | ₩17811.1× | ₩32420.3× | ₩90656.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | ₩12,104 | ₩12,963 | ₩14,008 | ₩15,311 | ₩16,980 |
| 7.0% | ₩10,980 | ₩11,665 | ₩12,484 | ₩13,482 | ₩14,725 |
| 7.5% | ₩10,032 | ₩10,586 | ₩11,239 | ₩12,020 | ₩12,971 |
| 8.0% | ₩9,220 | ₩9,675 | ₩10,204 | ₩10,826 | ₩11,570 |
| 8.5% | ₩8,519 | ₩8,896 | ₩9,329 | ₩9,832 | ₩10,425 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩123B
- Enterprise value
- ₩120B
- P/E
- 11.1×
- P/B
- 1.7×
- P/S
- 1.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,215 | ₩2,298 | ₩4,400 | ₩4,375 | ₩6,800 |
| Market cap | ₩75B | ₩41B | ₩79B | ₩78B | ₩121B |
| P/E | 7.5× | — | 21.4× | 47.0× | 20.9× |
| P/B | 1.2× | 0.7× | 1.3× | 1.4× | 2.2× |
| P/S | 1.1× | 1.0× | 1.8× | 2.5× | 3.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.4% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFC | 11.1× | 1.7× | 1.3× | — | 0.9% |
| APR | 25.0× | 16.7× | 4.7× | 24.7× | 1.8% |
| Amorepacific | 25.5× | 1.3× | 1.6× | — | 1.0% |
| LG H&H | — | 0.7× | 0.6× | 6.9× | 0.8% |
| Cosmax | 16.0× | 4.6× | 1.1× | 13.7× | 1.3% |
| Kolmar Korea | 15.0× | 2.8× | 0.9× | — | 0.7% |
| d'Alba Global | 17.0× | 7.3× | 2.9× | — | 1.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 17.0× | 3.7× | 1.4× | 13.7× | 1.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: NFC / 엔에프씨 / 265740 / KRX:265740
Source: KRX statistical information