HD Construction Equipment

267270 · KOSPI · ₩267270 · HD건설기계

₩80,900▲ ₩100 (0.12%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩65,290

vs the current price (₩80,900)

Enterprise value
₩4.3T
Equity value
₩3.1T
WACC
6.7%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩11,228
−86.1%
Base
₩65,290
−19.3%
Bull
₩169,249
+109.2%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.5%).

Revenue growth

  • 2.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 5.5%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 4.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 31.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.35, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩6.6T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩1.1T
+ Stakes and investments
₩144M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩137B
Shares
47,497,386
Share price
₩80,900
Market cap
₩3.8T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩3.8T₩3.4T₩3.8T₩6.8T₩7T₩7.2T₩7.4T₩7.6T
Growth8.8%−10.1%9.8%2.4%2.6%2.7%2.9%3.0%
EBIT₩257B₩190B₩171B₩374B₩384B₩394B₩406B₩418B
EBIT margin6.7%5.5%4.5%5.5%5.5%5.5%5.5%5.5%
After-tax EBIT₩186B₩138B₩124B₩271B₩278B₩286B₩294B₩303B
+ Depreciation———₩231B₩237B₩244B₩251B₩258B
− Capital spending₩129B₩188B₩155B₩292B₩300B₩308B₩317B₩327B
− Working capital−₩100B−₩67B₩38B₩50B₩56B₩59B₩65B₩70B
Free cash flow———₩160B₩160B₩162B₩162B₩165B
Discount factor———0.9380.8790.8240.7730.725
Present value———₩150B₩140B₩133B₩125B₩119B

Terminal value ₩5T, worth ₩3.6T today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩103,093 a share)Now 0.78×₩130,1871.26×₩173,9101.69×₩270,7812.63×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩8,852 a share)Now 9.14×₩133,50015.1×₩237,38226.8×₩559,16763.2×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩15,195 a share)Now 5.32×₩229,16415.1×₩407,48926.8×₩959,86363.2×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.7%₩76,887₩83,268₩91,342₩101,916₩116,399
6.2%₩66,323₩70,993₩76,741₩84,011₩93,525
6.7%₩57,644₩61,114₩65,290₩70,427₩76,920
7.2%₩50,390₩52,996₩56,073₩59,773₩64,320
7.7%₩44,238₩46,209₩48,497₩51,195₩54,435

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩3.8T
Enterprise value
₩4.8T
P/E
9.1×
P/B
0.8×
P/S
0.6×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩98,400₩58,300₩51,700₩62,200₩40,550
Market cap₩4.7T₩2.8T₩2.5T₩3T₩1.9T
P/E47.0×27.7×17.6×26.5×17.0×
P/B2.6×1.7×1.6×2.0×1.5×
P/S1.2×0.8×0.6×0.8×0.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
HD Construction Equipment9.1×0.8×0.6×—0.0%
Doosan Enerbility217.2×4.8×2.2×—0.0%
Hanmi Semiconductor87.4×26.0×35.2×78.7×0.4%
Jusung Engineering1,189.7×14.6×38.2×2,291.7×0.0%
Rainbow Robotics4,610.6×59.1×174.0×—0.0%
EO Technics47.5×6.9×11.6×—0.0%
Wonik IPS28.2×4.5×5.3×42.7×0.2%
Similar companies (median)152.3×10.7×23.4×78.7×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: HD Construction Equipment / HD건설기계 / 267270 / KRX:267270

Source: KRX statistical information