Wise birds

273060 · KOSDAQ · ₩273060 · 와이즈버즈

₩3,440▼ ₩85 (2.41%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩11,323

vs the current price (₩3,440)

Enterprise value
₩153B
Equity value
₩111B
WACC
5.9%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 229% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩3,440, the model needs an operating margin of 9.0% every year (it uses 13.8%).
  • Or revenue growth −19.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 1.6% to 16.6% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 5.4× against a typical 26.5× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩4,253
+23.6%
Base
₩11,323
+229.2%
Bull
₩25,011
+627.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (13.8%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (42.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (42.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (42.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (42.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (42.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 13.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 13.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 17.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.79

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.69, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩50B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩46B
+ Stakes and investments
₩3.7B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
9,828,856
Share price
₩3,440
Market cap
₩34B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩14B₩31B₩46B₩63B₩75B₩86B₩93B₩96B
Growth−12.1%122.2%47.9%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩219M₩2.3B₩7.6B₩8.7B₩10B₩12B₩13B₩13B
EBIT margin1.6%7.5%16.6%13.8%13.8%13.8%13.8%13.8%
After-tax EBIT₩159M₩1.7B₩5.5B₩6.3B₩7.5B₩8.6B₩9.3B₩9.6B
+ Depreciation———₩8.6B₩10B₩12B₩13B₩13B
− Capital spending₩6.5B₩1B₩474M₩11B₩13B₩15B₩16B₩16B
− Working capital−₩1B−₩2.8B−₩1B₩5B₩4.9B₩4.2B₩2.9B₩1.1B
Free cash flow———−₩880M₩59M₩1.5B₩3.2B₩5.2B
Discount factor———0.9440.8910.8410.7940.750
Present value———−₩831M₩52M₩1.2B₩2.6B₩3.9B

Terminal value ₩195B, worth ₩146B today: 95% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩5,103 a share)Now 0.67×₩4,6230.91×₩6,4721.27×₩10,4622.05×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩642 a share)Now 5.36×₩6,44010.0×₩17,03226.5×₩49,17276.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩405 a share)Now 8.50×₩4,06310.0×₩10,74726.5×₩31,02776.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.9%₩12,713₩14,713₩17,389₩21,158₩26,865
5.4%₩10,530₩12,008₩13,911₩16,458₩20,045
5.9%₩8,794₩9,918₩11,323₩13,134₩15,556
6.4%₩7,382₩8,257₩9,325₩10,660₩12,381
6.9%₩6,213₩6,906₩7,736₩8,750₩10,018

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩34B
Enterprise value
₩79B
P/E
5.4×
P/B
0.7×
P/S
0.7×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩4,425₩3,615₩7,880₩6,250₩8,700
Market cap₩43B₩36B₩77B₩61B₩86B
P/E23.1×16.3×88.6×27.4×31.5×
P/B0.9×0.7×1.7×1.3×2.1×
P/S1.0×1.2×5.6×3.9×7.0×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Wise birds5.4×0.7×0.7×—0.0%
S-123.7×2.1×1.3×—0.0%
Cheil Worldwide9.7×1.3×0.5×—6.6%
Doosan Tesna59.6×4.5×6.2×—0.2%
Lotte Tour Development16.0×2.2×1.2×—0.0%
Soulbrain Holdings1.3×0.4×1.3×—1.3%
Innocean Worldwide5.5×0.6×0.3×—6.7%
Similar companies (median)12.9×1.7×1.2×—0.7%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Wise birds / 와이즈버즈 / 273060 / KRX:273060

Source: KRX statistical information