APR에이피알
278470 · KOSPI · ₩278470 · 에이피알
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩207,314
vs the current price (₩261,000)
- Enterprise value
- ₩7.5T
- Equity value
- ₩7.8T
- WACC
- 7.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩135,850
- −48.0%
- Base
- ₩207,314
- −20.6%
- Bull
- ₩322,240
- +23.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (16.2%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (56.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (56.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (56.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (56.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (56.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 16.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 3.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.67
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.51, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩2.3T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩204B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩31B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩161
- Shares
- 37,438,155
- Share price
- ₩261,000
- Market cap
- ₩9.8T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩524B | ₩723B | ₩1.5T | ₩2.9T | ₩3.4T | ₩3.9T | ₩4.2T | ₩4.4T |
| Growth | 31.7% | 38.0% | 111.3% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩104B | ₩123B | ₩366B | ₩465B | ₩555B | ₩633B | ₩687B | ₩707B |
| EBIT margin | 19.9% | 17.0% | 23.9% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 16.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩76B | ₩89B | ₩265B | ₩337B | ₩403B | ₩459B | ₩498B | ₩513B |
| + Depreciation | ₩4.7B | ₩6.3B | ₩7.6B | ₩23B | ₩27B | ₩31B | ₩34B | ₩35B |
| − Capital spending | ₩12B | ₩48B | ₩18B | ₩98B | ₩117B | ₩133B | ₩144B | ₩148B |
| − Working capital | −₩5.8B | ₩31B | ₩10B | ₩28B | ₩27B | ₩24B | ₩16B | ₩6.2B |
| Free cash flow | ₩74B | ₩16B | ₩245B | ₩234B | ₩286B | ₩334B | ₩371B | ₩393B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.929 | 0.862 | 0.801 | 0.743 | 0.690 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩217B | ₩247B | ₩267B | ₩276B | ₩271B |
Terminal value ₩9T, worth ₩6.2T today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩17,309 a share)Now 15.1× | ₩109,1366.30× | ₩261,00015.1× | ₩493,14428.5× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩11,544 a share)Now 22.6× | ₩244,71921.2× | ₩374,23132.4× | ₩576,50849.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩11,773 a share)Now 22.2× | ₩249,56221.2× | ₩381,63832.4× | ₩587,91949.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | ₩215,309 | ₩232,588 | ₩253,543 | ₩279,492 | ₩312,461 |
| 7.2% | ₩197,071 | ₩211,264 | ₩228,185 | ₩248,708 | ₩274,121 |
| 7.7% | ₩181,587 | ₩193,414 | ₩207,314 | ₩223,888 | ₩243,989 |
| 8.2% | ₩168,283 | ₩178,259 | ₩189,843 | ₩203,459 | ₩219,693 |
| 8.7% | ₩156,732 | ₩165,236 | ₩175,009 | ₩186,357 | ₩199,695 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩9.8T
- Enterprise value
- ₩9.5T
- P/E
- 22.6×
- P/B
- 15.1×
- P/S
- 4.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- 22.2×
- Dividend yield
- 2.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩231,000 | ₩50,000 |
| Market cap | ₩8.6T | ₩1.9T |
| P/E | 29.9× | 17.4× |
| P/B | 19.4× | 5.8× |
| P/S | 5.7× | 2.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | 22.5× | 13.8× |
| Dividend yield | 2.2% | — |
Loading data for this company — check back soon
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APR | 22.6× | 15.1× | 4.3× | 22.2× | 2.0% |
| Amorepacific | 26.4× | 1.4× | 1.7× | — | 1.0% |
| LG H&H | — | 0.7× | 0.6× | 6.9× | 0.8% |
| Cosmax | 15.2× | 4.3× | 1.1× | 13.2× | 1.3% |
| Kolmar Korea | 14.4× | 2.7× | 0.9× | — | 0.8% |
| Amorepacific Holdings | 14.0× | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| d'Alba Global | 16.6× | 7.2× | 2.8× | — | 1.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 15.2× | 2.0× | 1.0× | 10.1× | 1.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: APR / 에이피알 / 278470 / KRX:278470
Source: KRX statistical information