Moadata모아데이타
288980 · KOSDAQ · ₩288980 · 모아데이타
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩52B
- Equity value
- −₩89B
- WACC
- 4.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩204, the model needs an operating margin of 7.0% every year (it uses −6.5%).
- Margins ranged from −25.6% to 13.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−6.5%).
Revenue growth
- 2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -6.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 26.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.78
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.68, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩24B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩47B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩11B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩1B
- Shares
- 36,381,379
- Share price
- ₩204
- Market cap
- ₩7.4B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩25B | ₩34B | ₩23B | ₩25B | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩28B |
| Growth | 13.0% | 40.1% | −32.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩358M | −₩1.3B | −₩5.9B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.8B |
| EBIT margin | −1.5% | −3.9% | −25.6% | −6.5% | −6.5% | −6.5% | −6.5% | −6.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩259M | −₩964M | −₩4.3B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩25M | ₩26M | ₩26M | ₩27M | ₩28M |
| − Capital spending | ₩12M | ₩4.3M | ₩33M | ₩25M | ₩26M | ₩26M | ₩27M | ₩28M |
| − Working capital | −₩3.7B | ₩3.6B | −₩1.3B | ₩144M | ₩161M | ₩178M | ₩197M | ₩217M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩1.3B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.956 | 0.914 | 0.874 | 0.835 | 0.799 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.3B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B |
Terminal value −₩57B, worth −₩46B today: 88% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩325 a share)Now 0.63× | ₩3481.07× | ₩6492.00× | ₩1,1583.57× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩7.4B
- Enterprise value
- ₩54B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,006 | ₩1,250 | ₩2,405 | ₩2,310 |
| Market cap | ₩37B | ₩45B | ₩87B | ₩84B |
| P/E | — | — | 358.2× | 46.8× |
| P/B | 2.0× | 1.2× | 2.3× | 2.3× |
| P/S | 1.6× | 1.3× | 3.6× | 3.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Loading data for this company — check back soon
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moadata | — | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 46.8× | 4.7× | 2.0× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 6.9× | 1.2× | 2.0× | 8.3× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.0× | 3.0× | 5.1× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.7× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Moadata / 모아데이타 / 288980 / KRX:288980
Source: KRX statistical information