CTR Mobility

308170 · KOSPI · ₩308170 · 씨티알모빌리티

₩3,480▲ ₩210 (6.42%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩48B
Equity value
−₩236B
WACC
4.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩3,480, the model needs an operating margin of 2.6% every year (it uses 0.7%).
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩31,851
+815.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.7%).

Revenue growth

  • 2.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 0.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 5.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 9.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.18, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩446B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩187B
Shares
8,610,000
Share price
₩3,480
Market cap
₩30B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩444B₩432B₩461B₩459B₩473B₩487B₩502B₩517B
Growth5.0%−2.7%6.8%2.9%3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%
EBIT₩525M₩3.9B₩5.8B₩3.2B₩3.3B₩3.4B₩3.5B₩3.6B
EBIT margin0.1%0.9%1.3%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%
After-tax EBIT₩380M₩2.8B₩4.2B₩2.3B₩2.4B₩2.5B₩2.5B₩2.6B
+ Depreciation₩15B₩14B₩13B₩14B₩15B₩15B₩16B₩16B
− Capital spending₩21B₩32B₩23B₩26B₩27B₩28B₩29B₩29B
− Working capital−₩5.9B−₩4.6B₩21B₩1.2B₩1.3B₩1.3B₩1.4B₩1.4B
Free cash flow₩447M−₩10B−₩26B−₩11B−₩11B−₩12B−₩12B−₩12B
Discount factor———0.9570.9150.8760.8380.801
Present value———−₩10B−₩10B−₩10B−₩9.9B−₩9.8B

Terminal value ₩2.4B, worth ₩1.9B today: -4% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩9,806 a share)Now 0.35×₩4,7100.48×₩8,9590.91×₩15,3421.56×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
3.5%—————
4.0%—————
4.5%—————
5.0%—————
5.5%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩30B
Enterprise value
₩217B
P/E
—
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
12.2×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,820₩5,930₩12,300₩13,000₩22,500
Market cap₩59B₩51B₩106B₩112B₩194B
P/E———99.2×135.7×
P/B0.7×0.7×1.2×1.1×2.0×
P/S0.1×0.1×0.2×0.3×0.5×
EV/EBITDA12.1×11.2×15.7×16.7×16.4×
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
CTR Mobility—0.4×0.1×12.2×0.0%
Hyundai Mobis8.2×0.6×0.5×—2.0%
SL6.0×0.8×0.4×3.7×0.0%
HL Mando10.5×0.6×0.2×—2.0%
Samhyun—13.0×18.3×—0.0%
Hyundai WIA19.0×0.4×0.2×—2.4%
SNT Dynamics13.6×0.7×0.9×—6.7%
Similar companies (median)10.5×0.7×0.4×3.7×2.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: CTR Mobility / 씨티알모빌리티 / 308170 / KRX:308170

Source: KRX statistical information