Innogene

344860 · KOSDAQ · ₩344860 · 이노진

₩1,483▲ ₩18 (1.23%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩650

vs the current price (₩1,483)

Enterprise value
₩8.2B
Equity value
₩9.8B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 56% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,483, the model needs an operating margin of 15.0% every year (it uses 6.4%).
  • Or revenue growth +38.4 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 0.1% to 16.3% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩409
−72.4%
Base
₩650
−56.2%
Bull
₩1,084
−26.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.4%).

Revenue growth

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 6.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 1.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.02, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩12B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩1.6B
Shares
15,030,000
Share price
₩1,483
Market cap
₩22B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩10B₩8.9B₩8.2B₩12B₩11B₩11B₩11B₩12B
Growth10.5%−11.4%−8.2%−3.5%−1.9%−0.2%1.4%3.0%
EBIT₩1.2B₩630M₩4.5M₩737M₩723M₩722M₩732M₩754M
EBIT margin12.1%7.0%0.1%6.4%6.4%6.4%6.4%6.4%
After-tax EBIT₩889M₩457M₩3.3M₩535M₩524M₩523M₩531M₩547M
+ Depreciation₩228M₩221M₩224M₩288M₩283M₩282M₩286M₩294M
− Capital spending—₩0₩293M₩207M₩203M₩203M₩206M₩212M
− Working capital₩9.4B₩737M−₩3.2B−₩167M−₩88M−₩9M₩63M₩137M
Free cash flow—−₩59M₩3.1B₩782M₩691M₩611M₩548M₩492M
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———₩728M₩599M₩493M₩411M₩344M

Terminal value ₩8B, worth ₩5.6B today: 68% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩802 a share)Now 1.85×₩1,1391.42×₩1,4831.85×₩2,4223.02×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩711₩733₩760₩793₩837
6.9%₩663₩680₩699₩723₩752
7.4%₩623₩635₩650₩667₩687
7.9%₩589₩598₩608₩620₩635
8.4%₩559₩566₩573₩582₩592

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩22B
Enterprise value
₩21B
P/E
—
P/B
1.8×
P/S
1.9×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
6.1%

Over time (at each year end)

2025202420232022
Price₩1,864₩1,481₩2,740₩3,174
Market cap₩28B₩22B₩41B₩48B
P/E97.3×23.6×29.5×35.6×
P/B2.0×1.3×2.6×7.1×
P/S3.4×2.5×4.1×5.2×
EV/EBITDA117.8×25.2×27.7×27.3×
Dividend yield4.8%5.4%——

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Innogene—1.8×1.9×—6.1%
APR24.1×16.1×4.5×23.7×1.8%
Amorepacific25.4×1.3×1.6×—1.0%
LG H&H—0.7×0.6×6.8×0.8%
Cosmax16.2×4.6×1.1×13.8×1.3%
Kolmar Korea15.0×2.8×0.9×—0.7%
d'Alba Global16.8×7.2×2.9×—1.8%
Similar companies (median)16.8×3.7×1.4×13.8×1.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Innogene / 이노진 / 344860 / KRX:344860

Source: KRX statistical information