Samg Entertainment

419530 · KOSDAQ · ₩419530 · SAMG엔터

₩15,450▼ ₩190 (1.21%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩1.6B
Equity value
−₩2.6B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩15,450, the model needs an operating margin of 6.7% every year (it uses 2.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −9.9% to 16.0% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩9,381
−39.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (27.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 25.6%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.07, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩145B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩6.3B
+ Stakes and investments
₩6.2B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩842M
Shares
10,207,337
Share price
₩15,450
Market cap
₩158B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩95B₩116B₩141B₩182B₩217B₩247B₩268B₩276B
Growth39.2%22.4%21.3%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT−₩9.4B−₩6.1B₩23B₩3.6B₩4.3B₩4.9B₩5.4B₩5.5B
EBIT margin−9.9%−5.2%16.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩6.8B−₩4.4B₩16B₩2.6B₩3.1B₩3.6B₩3.9B₩4B
+ Depreciation₩3.2B₩5.3B₩4.4B₩6.7B₩8B₩9.1B₩9.9B₩10B
− Capital spending₩3.4B—₩8B₩8.4B₩10B₩11B₩12B₩13B
− Working capital₩25B−₩33B₩39B₩9.3B₩9.1B₩7.8B₩5.4B₩2.1B
Free cash flow−₩32B—−₩26B−₩8.3B−₩7.9B−₩6.4B−₩3.9B−₩541M
Discount factor———0.9320.8690.8110.7560.705
Present value———−₩7.7B−₩6.8B−₩5.2B−₩3B−₩381M

Terminal value ₩30B, worth ₩21B today: -1322% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩8,291 a share)Now 1.86×₩22,2762.69×₩39,4474.76×₩86,04610.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩757₩561₩313——
6.8%₩438₩240———
7.3%₩176————
7.8%—————
8.3%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩158B
Enterprise value
₩152B
P/E
50.7×
P/B
1.9×
P/S
1.1×
EV/EBITDA
7.2×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

2025202420232022
Price₩41,350₩12,730₩20,050₩25,300
Market cap₩422B₩130B₩205B₩258B
P/E14.0×———
P/B5.2×4.5×4.5×5.5×
P/S3.0×1.1×2.2×3.8×
EV/EBITDA15.2×——220.0×
Dividend yield0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Samg Entertainment50.7×1.9×1.1×7.2×0.0%
HYBE—2.0×1.9×—0.3%
SM Entertainment13.7×1.7×1.4×—2.1%
JYP Entertainment12.7×2.1×1.7×7.1×2.3%
CJ CGV—1.1×0.3×—0.0%
YG Entertainment21.7×1.4×1.2×—0.8%
Studio Dragon21.8×0.9×1.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)17.7×1.6×1.3×7.1×0.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Samg Entertainment / SAMG엔터 / 419530 / KRX:419530

Source: KRX statistical information