Openknowl

440320 · KOSDAQ · ₩440320 · 오픈놀

₩1,761▲ ₩2 (0.11%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩845

vs the current price (₩1,761)

Enterprise value
−₩8.3B
Equity value
₩8.4B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 52% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,761, the model needs an operating margin of 1.0% every year (it uses 0.6%).
  • Margins ranged from −3.1% to 5.4% over the last 3 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩845
−52.0%
Bull
₩6,263
+255.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.6%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (87.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (87.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (87.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (87.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (87.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 0.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 12.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩88B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩16B
+ Stakes and investments
₩4.9B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩4.7B
Shares
9,980,000
Share price
₩1,761
Market cap
₩18B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩25B₩51B₩88B₩110B₩132B₩150B₩163B₩168B
Growth—102.0%73.9%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩1.3B₩101M−₩2.8B₩661M₩790M₩901M₩977M₩1B
EBIT margin5.4%0.2%−3.1%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%
After-tax EBIT₩977M₩73M−₩2B₩479M₩573M₩653M₩708M₩730M
+ Depreciation———₩2.2B₩2.6B₩3B₩3.3B₩3.4B
− Capital spending₩1.1B₩1.1B₩785M₩2.6B₩3.2B₩3.6B₩3.9B₩4B
− Working capital—₩4B−₩11B₩2.7B₩2.6B₩2.3B₩1.6B₩601M
Free cash flow———−₩2.7B−₩2.6B−₩2.2B−₩1.5B−₩542M
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———−₩2.5B−₩2.3B−₩1.8B−₩1.1B−₩380M

Terminal value −₩350M, worth −₩245M today: 3% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩3,561 a share)Now 0.49×₩2,3180.65×₩4,4771.26×₩7,9412.23×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2023, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩1,111₩982₩820₩616₩348
6.9%₩1,093₩976₩833₩657₩432
7.4%₩1,079₩972₩845₩691₩499
7.9%₩1,068₩971₩857₩720₩553
8.4%₩1,059₩971₩867₩745₩599

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩18B
Enterprise value
₩1.1B
P/E
—
P/B
0.5×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

202520242023
Price₩3,790₩5,970₩11,200
Market cap₩38B₩60B₩112B
P/E—44.3×79.4×
P/B1.1×1.4×3.0×
P/S0.4×1.2×4.4×
EV/EBITDA———
Dividend yield0.0%——

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Openknowl—0.5×0.2×—0.0%
Hyundai Autoever50.3×5.1×2.1×—0.5%
Krafton10.1×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.4×0.6%
Netmarble7.0×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss7.9×2.1×3.0×5.2×0.0%
Shift UP8.9×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.4×1.5×2.1×6.8×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Openknowl / 오픈놀 / 440320 / KRX:440320

Source: KRX statistical information