Synapsoft

466410 · KOSDAQ · ₩466410 · 사이냅소프트

₩8,090▼ ₩140 (1.70%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩18,704

vs the current price (₩8,090)

Enterprise value
₩66B
Equity value
₩94B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 131% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩8,090, the model needs an operating margin of 7.6% every year (it uses 35.2%).
  • 39% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩14,746
+82.3%
Base
₩18,704
+131.2%
Bull
₩25,051
+209.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (35.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 1.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 35.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 17.1%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 101 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.2, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩14B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩27B
+ Stakes and investments
₩651M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
5,037,023
Share price
₩8,090
Market cap
₩41B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩13B₩13B₩14B₩14B₩15B₩15B₩16B
Growth—1.7%1.7%2.0%2.3%2.7%3.0%
EBIT₩5.1B₩4.7B₩5B₩5.1B₩5.2B₩5.3B₩5.5B
EBIT margin38.3%34.7%35.2%35.2%35.2%35.2%35.2%
After-tax EBIT₩3.7B₩3.4B₩3.6B₩3.7B₩3.8B₩3.9B₩4B
+ Depreciation₩505M₩553M₩566M₩578M₩591M₩607M₩625M
− Capital spending——₩566M₩578M₩591M₩607M₩625M
− Working capital—₩2.5B₩40M₩48M₩57M₩68M₩78M
Free cash flow——₩3.6B₩3.6B₩3.7B₩3.8B₩3.9B
Discount factor——0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value——₩3.3B₩3.2B₩3B₩2.9B₩2.7B

Terminal value ₩73B, worth ₩51B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩19,243₩20,354₩21,717₩23,431₩25,651
6.9%₩18,069₩18,970₩20,056₩21,389₩23,065
7.4%₩17,078₩17,822₩18,704₩19,765₩21,069
7.9%₩16,232₩16,854₩17,581₩18,443₩19,482
8.4%₩15,500₩16,026₩16,635₩17,346₩18,190

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩41B
Enterprise value
₩14B
P/E
7.6×
P/B
0.6×
P/S
2.9×
EV/EBITDA
2.7×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024
Price₩12,540₩16,490
Market cap₩63B₩83B
P/E11.1×13.9×
P/B0.9×1.3×
P/S4.7×6.3×
EV/EBITDA3.6×7.6×
Dividend yield0.0%—

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Synapsoft7.6×0.6×2.9×2.7×0.0%
Hyundai Autoever50.3×5.1×2.1×—0.5%
Krafton10.1×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.4×0.6%
Netmarble7.0×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss7.9×2.1×3.0×5.2×0.0%
Shift UP8.9×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.4×1.5×2.1×6.8×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Synapsoft / 사이냅소프트 / 466410 / KRX:466410

Source: KRX statistical information