Synapsoft사이냅소프트
466410 · KOSDAQ · ₩466410 · 사이냅소프트
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩18,704
vs the current price (₩8,090)
- Enterprise value
- ₩66B
- Equity value
- ₩94B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 131% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩8,090, the model needs an operating margin of 7.6% every year (it uses 35.2%).
- 39% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩14,746
- +82.3%
- Base
- ₩18,704
- +131.2%
- Bull
- ₩25,051
- +209.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (35.2%).
Revenue growth
- 1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 35.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 17.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 101 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.2, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩14B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩27B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩651M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 5,037,023
- Share price
- ₩8,090
- Market cap
- ₩41B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩16B |
| Growth | — | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩5.1B | ₩4.7B | ₩5B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.5B |
| EBIT margin | 38.3% | 34.7% | 35.2% | 35.2% | 35.2% | 35.2% | 35.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.7B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.9B | ₩4B |
| + Depreciation | ₩505M | ₩553M | ₩566M | ₩578M | ₩591M | ₩607M | ₩625M |
| − Capital spending | — | — | ₩566M | ₩578M | ₩591M | ₩607M | ₩625M |
| − Working capital | — | ₩2.5B | ₩40M | ₩48M | ₩57M | ₩68M | ₩78M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | ₩3.6B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | ₩3.3B | ₩3.2B | ₩3B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.7B |
Terminal value ₩73B, worth ₩51B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩19,243 | ₩20,354 | ₩21,717 | ₩23,431 | ₩25,651 |
| 6.9% | ₩18,069 | ₩18,970 | ₩20,056 | ₩21,389 | ₩23,065 |
| 7.4% | ₩17,078 | ₩17,822 | ₩18,704 | ₩19,765 | ₩21,069 |
| 7.9% | ₩16,232 | ₩16,854 | ₩17,581 | ₩18,443 | ₩19,482 |
| 8.4% | ₩15,500 | ₩16,026 | ₩16,635 | ₩17,346 | ₩18,190 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩41B
- Enterprise value
- ₩14B
- P/E
- 7.6×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 2.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- 2.7×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩12,540 | ₩16,490 |
| Market cap | ₩63B | ₩83B |
| P/E | 11.1× | 13.9× |
| P/B | 0.9× | 1.3× |
| P/S | 4.7× | 6.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.6× | 7.6× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Synapsoft | 7.6× | 0.6× | 2.9× | 2.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 50.3× | 5.1× | 2.1× | — | 0.5% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 8.9× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Synapsoft / 사이냅소프트 / 466410 / KRX:466410
Source: KRX statistical information