Kistron

475430 · KOSDAQ · ₩475430 · 키스트론

₩3,965▲ ₩80 (2.06%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩6,937

vs the current price (₩3,965)

Enterprise value
₩99B
Equity value
₩124B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 75% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩3,965, the model needs an operating margin of 6.2% every year (it uses 11.0%).
  • Or revenue growth −26.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • 54% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩4,717
+19.0%
Base
₩6,937
+75.0%
Bull
₩10,765
+171.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

Business

  • 11%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 5.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 6.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 36%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 73 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.28, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩78B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩25B
+ Stakes and investments
₩2M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
17,848,110
Share price
₩3,965
Market cap
₩71B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩69B₩80B₩82B₩85B₩88B₩90B
Growth—3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%
EBIT₩7.4B₩8.8B₩9.1B₩9.3B₩9.6B₩9.9B
EBIT margin10.7%11.0%11.0%11.0%11.0%11.0%
After-tax EBIT₩5.4B₩6.4B₩6.6B₩6.8B₩7B₩7.2B
+ Depreciation—₩4.3B₩4.5B₩4.6B₩4.7B₩4.9B
− Capital spending₩4.7B₩5.4B₩5.5B₩5.7B₩5.9B₩6B
− Working capital—₩840M₩865M₩891M₩918M₩945M
Free cash flow—₩4.5B₩4.6B₩4.8B₩4.9B₩5.1B
Discount factor—0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value—₩4.2B₩4B₩3.9B₩3.7B₩3.5B

Terminal value ₩114B, worth ₩80B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩7,384₩7,771₩8,245₩8,838₩9,603
6.9%₩6,851₩7,157₩7,524₩7,973₩8,534
7.4%₩6,402₩6,647₩6,937₩7,284₩7,709
7.9%₩6,019₩6,218₩6,450₩6,723₩7,052
8.4%₩5,687₩5,851₩6,039₩6,258₩6,516

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩71B
Enterprise value
₩46B
P/E
5.1×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.9×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.3%

Over time (at each year end)

2025
Price₩4,835
Market cap₩86B
P/E9.8×
P/B0.5×
P/S1.2×
EV/EBITDA—
Dividend yield1.0%

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Kistron5.1×0.4×0.9×—1.3%
LS Electric61.0×11.1×4.2×37.7×0.0%
Hyosung Heavy Industries30.5×6.9×2.8×—0.4%
HD Hyundai Electric19.1×7.2×3.7×—0.0%
Gaon Cable106.8×12.9×2.4×55.6×0.0%
Sanil Electric27.2×7.4×8.3×—0.8%
Taihan Cable & Solution—2.2×1.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)30.5×7.3×3.3×46.7×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Kistron / 키스트론 / 475430 / KRX:475430

Source: KRX statistical information