Phionx

900100 · KOSDAQ · ₩900100 · 파이온엑스

₩1,155▼ ₩195 (14.44%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩7.6M
Equity value
−₩9.5M
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
  • Margins ranged from −131.8% to 1.9% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-55.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-55.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-55.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-55.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-55.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 12.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 0%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 30%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -1.92, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩4.2M
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩3M
+ Stakes and investments
₩1M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
5,276,050
Share price
₩1,155
Market cap
₩6.1B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩29M₩14M₩4.5M₩3.8M₩3.5M₩3.4M₩3.4M₩3.5M
Growth−42.4%−52.7%−68.0%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩7.5M−₩8.4M−₩5.9M−₩750,243−₩699,977−₩675,478−₩674,127−₩694,351
EBIT margin−25.6%−60.3%−131.8%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩5.5M−₩6.1M−₩4.3M−₩543,926−₩507,483−₩489,721−₩488,742−₩503,404
+ Depreciation₩3.3M₩1.5M₩741,475₩480,156₩447,985₩432,306₩431,441₩444,384
− Capital spending₩0₩0—₩0₩0₩0₩0₩0
− Working capital−₩5.3M−₩1.9M−₩1.7M−₩125,041−₩75,399−₩36,749−₩2,026₩30,336
Free cash flow₩3.2M−₩2.7M—₩61,270₩15,901−₩20,667−₩55,274−₩89,356
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———₩57,045₩13,784−₩16,680−₩41,534−₩62,513

Terminal value −₩11M, worth −₩7.5M today: 99% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩5 a share)Now 254.1×₩3,765828.5×₩9,4362076.0×₩19,6514323.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%—————
6.9%—————
7.4%—————
7.9%—————
8.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩6.1B
Enterprise value
₩6.1B
P/E
—
P/B
254.1×
P/S
1,462.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩5,740₩9,919₩16,939₩15,249₩37,996
Market cap₩30B₩52B₩89B₩80B₩200B
P/E———75,170.6×46,196.4×
P/B1,207.7×1,928.9×2,582.7×1,491.3×4,333.5×
P/S6,792.4×3,755.3×3,035.7×1,574.6×2,807.5×
EV/EBITDA———17,355.8×45,632.9×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Phionx—254.1×1,462.0×—0.0%
Samsung C&T18.8×0.5×1.2×—0.9%
POSCO International10.6×1.3×0.3×—3.7%
ISC45.3×6.0×12.6×—0.5%
Youngone5.1×0.7×0.7×—3.1%
Dong SUH Companies18.9×1.6×5.1×—4.2%
Shinsegae14.4×0.5×0.3×—2.0%
Similar companies (median)16.6×1.0×1.0×—2.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Phionx / 파이온엑스 / 900100 / KRX:900100

Source: KRX statistical information