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Psomagen

950200 · KOSDAQ · ₩950200 · 소마젠

₩2,965▲ ₩130 (4.59%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩39M
Equity value
−₩34M
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
  • Margins ranged from −27.0% to 0.9% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 65% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−5.3%).

Revenue growth

  • 4.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -5.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 7.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 9.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 8.7%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.13, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩37M
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩4.2M
+ Stakes and investments
₩839,166
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
19,236,053
Share price
₩2,965
Market cap
₩57B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩25M₩31M₩39M₩39M₩41M₩42M₩44M₩45M
Growth−26.4%25.4%24.7%4.8%4.4%3.9%3.5%3.0%
EBIT−₩2.4M−₩2.7M₩332,301−₩2.1M−₩2.2M−₩2.3M−₩2.3M−₩2.4M
EBIT margin−9.7%−8.8%0.9%−5.3%−5.3%−5.3%−5.3%−5.3%
After-tax EBIT−₩1.7M−₩2M₩240,918−₩1.5M−₩1.6M−₩1.6M−₩1.7M−₩1.7M
+ Depreciation———₩2.9M₩3M₩3.1M₩3.3M₩3.3M
− Capital spending₩4.2M₩3.1M₩297,153₩3.6M₩3.8M₩3.9M₩4M₩4.2M
− Working capital−₩289,763−₩1.5M₩1.4M₩155,956₩149,822₩138,640₩129,273₩114,683
Free cash flow———−₩2.4M−₩2.5M−₩2.5M−₩2.6M−₩2.7M
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———−₩2.2M−₩2.1M−₩2M−₩2M−₩1.9M

Terminal value −₩41M, worth −₩28M today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1 a share)Now 2751.5×₩3,4753224.8×₩4,1503850.8×₩5,4725077.5×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%—————
6.9%—————
7.4%—————
7.9%—————
8.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩57B
Enterprise value
₩57B
P/E
29,077.4×
P/B
2,751.5×
P/S
1,527.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,880₩4,050₩5,100₩7,760₩8,890
Market cap₩75B₩78B₩98B₩149B₩171B
P/E—————
P/B3,640.0×3,705.1×4,065.8×5,301.4×5,937.2×
P/S1,929.8×2,512.9×3,968.8×4,446.2×6,844.8×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Psomagen29,077.4×2,751.5×1,527.2×—0.0%
S-123.7×2.1×1.3×—0.0%
Cheil Worldwide9.7×1.3×0.5×—6.6%
Doosan Tesna59.6×4.5×6.2×—0.2%
Lotte Tour Development16.0×2.2×1.2×—0.0%
Soulbrain Holdings1.3×0.4×1.3×—1.3%
Innocean Worldwide5.5×0.6×0.3×—6.7%
Similar companies (median)12.9×1.7×1.2×—0.7%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Psomagen / 소마젠 / 950200 / KRX:950200

Source: KRX statistical information