SamIl

032280 · KOSDAQ · ₩032280 · 삼일

₩1,339▲ ₩39 (3.00%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩1,323

vs the current price (₩1,339)

Enterprise value
₩30B
Equity value
₩21B
WACC
6.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩1,323
−1.2%
Bull
₩5,490
+310.0%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 2.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.07, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩101B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩8.3B
Shares
16,213,590
Share price
₩1,339
Market cap
₩22B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩100B₩105B₩100B₩104B₩107B₩110B₩113B₩117B
Growth8.4%5.5%−4.9%2.8%2.9%2.9%3.0%3.0%
EBIT₩1.7B₩2.5B₩2.1B₩2.1B₩2.1B₩2.2B₩2.3B₩2.3B
EBIT margin1.7%2.4%2.1%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%
After-tax EBIT₩1.2B₩1.8B₩1.5B₩1.5B₩1.5B₩1.6B₩1.6B₩1.7B
+ Depreciation₩3.2B₩3.1B₩3.2B₩3.2B₩3.3B₩3.4B₩3.5B₩3.6B
− Capital spending———₩4.2B₩4.3B₩4.4B₩4.5B₩4.7B
− Working capital−₩18B₩2.6B−₩2.1B−₩283M−₩301M−₩310M−₩330M−₩340M
Free cash flow———₩854M₩889M₩914M₩953M₩981M
Discount factor———0.9390.8820.8280.7780.730
Present value———₩802M₩784M₩757M₩741M₩717M

Terminal value ₩36B, worth ₩26B today: 87% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,004 a share)Now 0.33×₩1,3540.34×₩1,9210.48×₩2,7160.68×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩77 a share)Now 17.4×₩84811.0×₩1,42518.5×₩2,98738.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.5%₩1,267₩1,539₩1,890₩2,359₩3,019
6.0%₩1,077₩1,296₩1,571₩1,925₩2,400
6.5%₩921₩1,102₩1,323₩1,601₩1,959
7.0%₩792₩944₩1,126₩1,349₩1,630
7.5%₩684₩812₩965₩1,149₩1,374

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩22B
Enterprise value
₩30B
P/E
17.4×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
5.6×
Dividend yield
3.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,390₩2,590₩1,944₩1,965₩2,865
Market cap₩23B₩42B₩32B₩32B₩46B
P/E23.5×34.0×11.1×25.9×—
P/B0.4×0.7×0.5×0.5×0.8×
P/S0.2×0.4×0.3×0.3×0.5×
EV/EBITDA5.8×10.0×8.7×13.4×294.2×
Dividend yield2.9%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
SamIl17.4×0.3×0.2×5.6×3.0%
HMM14.6×0.7×1.8×—3.2%
Hyundai Glovis9.1×1.3×0.4×—3.1%
Pan Ocean9.0×0.5×0.5×—2.6%
CJ Logistics6.6×0.4×0.1×—1.2%
Korea Line3.4×0.2×0.5×—0.0%
Heung-A Shipping17.4×1.5×2.3×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)9.1×0.6×0.5×—1.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: SamIl / 삼일 / 032280 / KRX:032280

Source: KRX statistical information