Mobidays모비데이즈
363260 · KOSDAQ · ₩363260 · 모비데이즈
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩6,593
vs the current price (₩3,255)
- Enterprise value
- ₩30B
- Equity value
- ₩42B
- WACC
- 8.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 103% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,255, the model needs an operating margin of 4.2% every year (it uses 6.8%).
- Margins ranged from −8.0% to 28.6% over the last 4 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩3,638
- +11.8%
- Base
- ₩6,593
- +102.5%
- Bull
- ₩11,560
- +255.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.8%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (40.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (40.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (40.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (40.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (40.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.83
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.74, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩44B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩18B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3.9B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩10B
- Shares
- 6,432,753
- Share price
- ₩3,255
- Market cap
- ₩21B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩24B | ₩37B | ₩44B | ₩55B | ₩65B | ₩74B | ₩81B | ₩83B |
| Growth | 48.8% | 55.8% | 19.1% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩1.9B | ₩315M | ₩4.5B | ₩3.7B | ₩4.4B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.5B | ₩5.6B |
| EBIT margin | −8.0% | 0.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.4B | ₩228M | ₩3.3B | ₩2.7B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.7B | ₩4B | ₩4.1B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.6B | ₩2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩2.2B | ₩2.6B | ₩3B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.3B |
| − Working capital | ₩218M | ₩1.7B | −₩18B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.3B | ₩3.7B | ₩2.5B | ₩968M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩2.2B | −₩1.7B | −₩730M | ₩642M | ₩2.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.920 | 0.847 | 0.780 | 0.718 | 0.661 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩2B | −₩1.4B | −₩569M | ₩461M | ₩1.5B |
Terminal value ₩49B, worth ₩32B today: 107% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩6,089 a share)Now 0.53× | ₩7,0511.16× | ₩12,3592.03× | ₩183,25730.1× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6% | ₩7,326 | ₩7,528 | ₩7,764 | ₩8,042 | ₩8,376 |
| 8.1% | ₩6,799 | ₩6,953 | ₩7,129 | ₩7,333 | ₩7,573 |
| 8.6% | ₩6,345 | ₩6,461 | ₩6,593 | ₩6,742 | ₩6,916 |
| 9.1% | ₩5,949 | ₩6,036 | ₩6,134 | ₩6,244 | ₩6,369 |
| 9.6% | ₩5,601 | ₩5,666 | ₩5,738 | ₩5,817 | ₩5,906 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩21B
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.3B
- P/E
- 16.3×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 0.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 6.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩7,925 | ₩8,440 | ₩16,251 | ₩20,751 | ₩59,251 |
| Market cap | ₩51B | ₩54B | ₩105B | ₩133B | ₩381B |
| P/E | 19.1× | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 1.3× | 1.5× | 2.6× | 3.3× | 30.1× |
| P/S | 1.1× | 1.5× | 4.4× | 8.3× | — |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.5% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobidays | 16.3× | 0.5× | 0.5× | — | 6.1% |
| S-1 | 24.0× | 2.1× | 1.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Cheil Worldwide | 9.8× | 1.3× | 0.5× | — | 6.5% |
| Doosan Tesna | 54.7× | 4.1× | 5.7× | — | 0.2% |
| Lotte Tour Development | 15.4× | 2.2× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Soulbrain Holdings | 1.3× | 0.4× | 1.3× | — | 1.3% |
| Innocean Worldwide | 5.5× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 6.7% |
| Similar companies (median) | 12.6× | 1.7× | 1.2× | — | 0.7% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Mobidays / 모비데이즈 / 363260 / KRX:363260
Source: KRX statistical information